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Updated Thu 5 Nov, 6:35 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

Houston Christian Huskies

Women's · Southland Conference · 1-1, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-22
Net rating−17.8Rank 306 of 363 · offence 345, defence 201

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons
Projected record
11-22 (6 to 17 wins)
Projected conference record
8-14
Wins or shares the conference title
<1%
Wins the conference tournament
1%
Average seed if in the field
—
A 1 seed
0%
  1. Makes the field1%
  2. Round of 320%
  3. Sweet 160%
  4. Elite Eight0%
  5. Final Four0%
  6. Title game0%
  7. Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game
DateOpponentWhereWin chanceProjectedResultPick
Mon 2 Novat Ricerank 69Away2%62-91L 34-72Right
Wed 4 Novvs LeTourneaunot Division IHome——W 80-45
Fri 6 Nov7 PM ETvs Abilene Christianrank 89Home12%54-70—
Wed 11 Nov12 PM ETat North Texasrank 119Away5%51-73—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: <1% · the next 7 days
  1. Fri 6 Nov: vs Abilene ChristianA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
  2. Wed 11 Nov: at North TexasA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement
PlayerGamesMinutesPointsReboundsAssistsRatingValue
Hannah FieldsG226.03.54.00.5−4.1−0.9
Dasia HyamsG224.09.04.01.0−4.6−1.1
Tove CaesarF220.52.53.50.5−4.8−1.0
Remy HearnG217.07.51.50.5−2.3−0.1
Sadie HallG217.03.52.02.5−2.4−0.1
Sidney CarrG216.04.05.01.5−4.5−0.7
Nikki StanicG · transfer from New Mexico St215.57.52.01.0−6.0−1.1
Pearson HearneG214.52.04.01.0−2.30.0
Jordan JacksonG122.07.05.00.0−1.6+0.2
Veronika KorchaginaF210.53.04.00.5−3.5−0.3
J'Lee SalinasG210.04.52.00.0−2.00.0
Emelie LindqvistF29.55.02.50.5−2.00.0
Basak OrhanF · transfer from Fullerton28.51.51.53.0−2.7−0.1

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

OffenceDefenceLeague
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin41.9%rank 35845.2%rank 25644.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin24.3%rank 27723.4%rank 25623.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin30.9%rank 34930.7%rank 833.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin23.2%rank 2019.4%rank 7920.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances
0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting
−11.2 points a game (they shot 41.4%, league 28.5%)
Opponents' free throws
+0.2 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

2 games played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team
−20−15−10−50+51 NovNow−17.8−20−15−10−50+51 NovNow−17.8
Preseason net rating
−17.1
Last season's net rating
−17.3
Last season's minutes returning
62%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes
−0.8
Change since preseason
−0.7
Offence, points per 100 possessions
76.1 (rank 345)
Defence, points allowed per 100
93.9 (rank 201)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
72.9 (rank 213)
Schedule so far, opponents' average
+12.5 (rank 68)

Southland Conference by rating

12 teams
#TeamRecordConferenceNetOffenceDefenceNational rank
1Stephen F. Austin1-00-0+1.593.592.0125
2Lamar1-00-0−2.189.391.4162
3UT Rio Grande Valley1-00-0−7.287.494.6205
4Incarnate Word1-00-0−8.387.495.7212
5McNeese1-00-0−8.584.893.4216
6Nicholls1-00-0−11.583.494.8245
7Northwestern State1-00-0−11.983.295.0253
8East Texas A&M1-10-0−12.384.196.4260
9SE Louisiana1-10-0−14.185.499.4280
10Houston Christian1-10-0−17.876.193.9306
11Texas A&M-Corpus Christi1-00-0−21.377.398.6333
12LSU New Orleans0-20-0−30.874.2105.0358