Houston Cougars
Next: vs Sam Houston · Thu 5 Nov, 8 PM ETProjected 74-62 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-20
Net rating−2.9Rank 173 of 363 · offence 140, defence 206
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-20 (6 to 13 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 2-16
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 0%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 0%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Hamptonrank 267 | Home | 93% | 89-68 | W 73-65 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov8 PM ET | vs Sam Houstonrank 233 | Home | 80% | 74-62 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov8 PM ET | vs Stephen F. Austinrank 125 | Home | 53% | 73-72 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: vs Sam HoustonA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: vs Stephen F. AustinA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marta LlompartG | 1 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Raegan McCowanG · transfer from W Illinois | 1 | 31.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | +1.4 | +2.0 |
| Esmeralda EnriquezG | 1 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Janiyah WilliamsG · transfer from Oregon | 1 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +3.2 | +2.2 |
| Madison CarltonF | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Jorynn RossF | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Elodie LutbertC · transfer from Tarleton St | 1 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | +2.8 | +1.5 |
| Kayla KingG | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −2.7 | −0.1 |
| Alyvia McCorkleG | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Tamia KingF | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 46.3%rank 42 | 44.1%rank 97 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.0%rank 321 | 23.2%rank 283 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.0%rank 104 | 35.7%rank 339 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.1%rank 240 | 22.7%rank 338 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.9 expected (+0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +9.0 points a game (they shot 14.3%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +0.8
- Last season's net rating
- −1.7
- Last season's minutes returning
- 17%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +6.8
- Change since preseason
- −3.8
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 91.3 (rank 140)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 94.3 (rank 206)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.8 (rank 47)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −13.0 (rank 202)
Big 12 Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TCU | 1-0 | 0-0 | +30.1 | 109.7 | 79.6 | 16 |
| 2 | Oklahoma State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +28.4 | 108.5 | 80.0 | 22 |
| 3 | Baylor | 1-0 | 0-0 | +24.2 | 105.2 | 81.0 | 27 |
| 4 | West Virginia | 1-0 | 0-0 | +23.3 | 104.0 | 80.7 | 29 |
| 5 | Arizona State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +21.9 | 104.7 | 82.8 | 34 |
| 6 | Colorado | 1-0 | 0-0 | +20.9 | 100.9 | 80.0 | 35 |
| 7 | BYU | 1-0 | 0-0 | +19.3 | 100.8 | 81.6 | 38 |
| 8 | Texas Tech | 0-0 | 0-0 | +16.8 | 100.5 | 83.7 | 48 |
| 9 | Kansas State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +15.3 | 97.3 | 82.0 | 58 |
| 10 | Iowa State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +13.9 | 100.8 | 86.9 | 63 |
| 11 | Kansas | 1-0 | 0-0 | +12.5 | 98.7 | 86.2 | 70 |
| 12 | Arizona | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.5 | 97.0 | 86.4 | 74 |
| 13 | Utah | 1-0 | 0-0 | +9.5 | 98.0 | 88.5 | 80 |
| 14 | Cincinnati | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.4 | 96.0 | 90.5 | 99 |
| 15 | UCF | 1-1 | 0-0 | −2.1 | 91.5 | 93.6 | 162 |
| 16 | Houston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.9 | 91.3 | 94.3 | 173 |