Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
Makes the tournament48%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 24-10
Net rating+4.1Rank 106 of 363 · offence 127, defence 87
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 24-10 (19 to 28 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 14-2
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 61%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 47%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field48%
- Round of 321%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Murray Staterank 74 | Home | 50% | 85-85 | L 67-82 | Wrong |
| Thu 5 Nov7:30 PM ET | at Kansas Staterank 58 | Away | 14% | 58-72 | Live | |
| Sun 8 Nov4 PM ET | vs Louisvillerank 7 | Home | 5% | 57-79 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov12 PM ET | vs Spaldingnot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at Kansas StateA win: 48% · a loss: 48%0 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: vs LouisvilleA win: 51% · a loss: 48%+3 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiyah BuchananF | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | +1.4 | +1.5 |
| Tamara OrtizG · transfer from South Alabama | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | +0.9 |
| Sophia LodenG | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | +2.3 | +1.9 |
| Shannon BlacherG | 1 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | +1.1 | +1.4 |
| Channah GannonF | 1 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | +2.0 | +1.8 |
| Ella BobeG | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −0.9 | +0.5 |
| Chloe GannonF | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | +3.6 | +1.9 |
| Lexi SepulvedaG | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Lily GravesG | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.1 | +0.6 |
| Maddy ShirleyF | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.4 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.2%rank 308 | 46.7%rank 342 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.7%rank 127 | 23.5%rank 258 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 31.5%rank 322 | 33.7%rank 238 | 33.4% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 18.5%rank 336 | 23.2%rank 339 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.5 expected (−0.5)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −20.8 points a game (they shot 56.0%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −3.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +4.9
- Last season's net rating
- +4.6
- Last season's minutes returning
- 81%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.1
- Change since preseason
- −0.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 92.0 (rank 127)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 87.8 (rank 87)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.2 (rank 168)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +10.7 (rank 76)
Ohio Valley Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Indiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | +4.1 | 92.0 | 87.8 | 106 |
| 2 | Western Illinois | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.5 | 93.5 | 92.1 | 126 |
| 3 | SIU Edwardsville | 1-1 | 0-0 | −10.2 | 86.1 | 96.3 | 234 |
| 4 | UT Martin | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.9 | 88.8 | 99.8 | 239 |
| 5 | Lindenwood | 0-2 | 0-0 | −11.2 | 84.5 | 95.7 | 244 |
| 6 | Eastern Illinois | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.6 | 80.6 | 97.2 | 298 |
| 7 | Tennessee State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −17.9 | 80.3 | 98.2 | 307 |
| 8 | Morehead State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.0 | 80.1 | 98.1 | 310 |
| 9 | Southeast Missouri State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −21.8 | 78.0 | 99.8 | 337 |