Lindenwood Lions
Next: vs Evansville · Sat 7 Nov, 2 PM ETProjected 71-60 · Game page
Makes the tournament5%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-18
Net rating−11.2Rank 244 of 363 · offence 244, defence 257
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-18 (10 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 3%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 4%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field5%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Colorado Staterank 93 | Away | 13% | 68-84 | L 46-63 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | at Denverrank 259 | Away | 44% | 61-62 | L 52-66 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov2 PM ET | vs Evansvillerank 316 | Home | 80% | 71-60 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at Louisvillerank 7 | Away | 0% | 45-88 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs EvansvilleA win: 5% · a loss: 5%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadence DykstraG · transfer from Toledo | 2 | 34.0 | 12.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | −2.9 | −0.5 |
| Konstantina MantzioriG | 2 | 27.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Brenna RuckerG | 2 | 26.5 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.5 | −2.5 | −0.2 |
| Violet McNeceG · transfer from Morehead St | 2 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | −0.8 | +0.6 |
| Anna McCarnF | 2 | 19.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Saniah TylerG · transfer from Missouri | 2 | 18.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.3 |
| Jarius PowersC · transfer from UIC | 2 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | −3.8 | −0.5 |
| Jazlyn PowellF | 2 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Bianca SilvaG · transfer from Louisiana | 2 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | −3.6 | −0.2 |
| Ariadna MartinezC | 2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.4 | +0.1 |
| Mariah DallasF | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.3 | +0.1 |
| Brynn OwensG | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.3 | 0.0 |
| Justice MaconF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.2%rank 249 | 44.7%rank 222 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.1%rank 72 | 23.9%rank 128 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.2%rank 235 | 31.4%rank 39 | 33.4% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.2%rank 295 | 19.9%rank 121 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.6 expected (−0.6)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −4.3 points a game (they shot 34.9%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −8.6
- Last season's net rating
- +10.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 4%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.5
- Change since preseason
- −2.6
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 84.5 (rank 244)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 95.7 (rank 257)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.1 (rank 344)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −2.7 (rank 147)
Ohio Valley Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Indiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | +4.1 | 92.0 | 87.8 | 106 |
| 2 | Western Illinois | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.5 | 93.5 | 92.1 | 126 |
| 3 | SIU Edwardsville | 1-1 | 0-0 | −10.2 | 86.1 | 96.3 | 234 |
| 4 | UT Martin | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.9 | 88.8 | 99.8 | 239 |
| 5 | Lindenwood | 0-2 | 0-0 | −11.2 | 84.5 | 95.7 | 244 |
| 6 | Eastern Illinois | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.6 | 80.6 | 97.2 | 298 |
| 7 | Tennessee State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −17.9 | 80.3 | 98.2 | 307 |
| 8 | Morehead State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.0 | 80.1 | 98.1 | 310 |
| 9 | Southeast Missouri State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −21.8 | 78.0 | 99.8 | 337 |