Eastern Illinois Panthers
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 9-23
Net rating−16.6Rank 299 of 363 · offence 296, defence 286
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 9-23 (4 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Drakerank 117 | Away | 10% | 60-77 | L 54-76 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov8 PM ET | at Iowarank 14 | Away | 0% | 44-89 | — | |
| Sun 8 Nov3 PM ET | at Iowa Staterank 63 | Away | 1% | 53-84 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov5 PM ET | at Saint Louisrank 199 | Away | 15% | 60-74 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: at Iowa StateA win: 1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at Saint LouisA win: 1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevaeh DickmanF · transfer from Loyola Chicago | 1 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | −1.0 |
| Clara GladG | 1 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −4.0 | −0.9 |
| Janyah BohanonG · transfer from Buffalo | 1 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −3.6 | −0.7 |
| Ava StollerG | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Nyah HardyG | 1 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.6 | −0.8 |
| Meioshe MasonC | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −3.5 | −0.4 |
| Dalia GrandberryF | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Alahnna SimpsonG | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Abbie BoutilierC | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.1 | −0.2 |
| Miranda Rodriguez SanchezG | 1 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 45.6%rank 70 | 44.4%rank 110 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.5%rank 110 | 22.8%rank 312 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 31.6%rank 321 | 34.7%rank 299 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 18.9%rank 314 | 17.5%rank 6 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −0.1 points a game (they shot 28.6%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +2.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.3
- Last season's net rating
- −20.6
- Last season's minutes returning
- 58%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.9
- Change since preseason
- −2.3
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 80.8 (rank 296)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 97.4 (rank 286)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.8 (rank 225)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +2.4 (rank 103)
Ohio Valley Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Indiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | +4.1 | 92.2 | 88.1 | 106 |
| 2 | Western Illinois | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.5 | 93.8 | 92.4 | 126 |
| 3 | UT Martin | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.9 | 89.1 | 100.0 | 237 |
| 4 | Lindenwood | 0-2 | 0-0 | −11.3 | 84.7 | 96.0 | 242 |
| 5 | SIU Edwardsville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 84.7 | 96.2 | 248 |
| 6 | Eastern Illinois | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.6 | 80.8 | 97.4 | 299 |
| 7 | Tennessee State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −17.9 | 80.6 | 98.5 | 307 |
| 8 | Morehead State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.6 | 79.5 | 98.0 | 315 |
| 9 | Southeast Missouri State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −21.9 | 78.2 | 100.1 | 336 |