Portland State Vikings
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 7-26
Net rating−19.9Rank 327 of 363 · offence 316, defence 318
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 7-26 (3 to 12 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-16
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 0%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Pepperdinerank 130 | Home | 26% | 76-86 | L 43-59 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov8:30 PM ET | at Boise Staterank 156 | Away | 7% | 56-76 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov9 PM ET | at San Diegorank 215 | Away | 14% | 56-70 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov2 PM ET | at UC San Diegorank 110 | Away | 3% | 52-77 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at Boise StateA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at San DiegoA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: at UC San DiegoA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan ColvinG · transfer from UNLV | 1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | −2.0 | +0.1 |
| Kyleigh BrownG | 1 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −4.0 | −1.1 |
| Laynee Torres-KahapeaG | 1 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −5.7 | −1.7 |
| Kirstine MunkF | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | −7.8 | −2.8 |
| Emma ZunigaF | 1 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.8 |
| Nihoa DunnF | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −3.8 | −0.8 |
| Sara BarhoumG · transfer from Oregon | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.1 | +0.6 |
| Liv CollinsG | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.4 | −0.3 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 40.0%rank 363 | 45.0%rank 248 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 22.9%rank 62 | 23.8%rank 223 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.3%rank 298 | 35.7%rank 340 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.1%rank 304 | 20.8%rank 253 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.3 expected (−0.3)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +5.1 points a game (they shot 15.4%, league 28.4%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −17.3
- Last season's net rating
- −19.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 36%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.6
- Change since preseason
- −2.6
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 79.5 (rank 316)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 99.4 (rank 318)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.1 (rank 184)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +1.2 (rank 112)
Big Sky Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +16.3 | 98.4 | 82.1 | 51 |
| 2 | Idaho | 1-0 | 0-0 | +4.0 | 92.9 | 88.9 | 107 |
| 3 | Eastern Washington | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.5 | 91.7 | 91.2 | 140 |
| 4 | Northern Colorado | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.1 | 89.4 | 91.5 | 164 |
| 5 | Southern Utah | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.8 | 92.2 | 95.0 | 170 |
| 6 | Idaho State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 85.2 | 91.4 | 197 |
| 7 | Northern Arizona | 0-0 | 0-0 | −9.1 | 87.3 | 96.3 | 220 |
| 8 | Montana | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 88.0 | 97.2 | 225 |
| 9 | Weber State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.0 | 84.5 | 95.5 | 239 |
| 10 | Utah Tech | 1-0 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 79.4 | 99.1 | 324 |
| 11 | Portland State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.9 | 79.5 | 99.4 | 327 |