Weber State Wildcats

Women's · Big Sky Conference · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: vs Denver · Sat 7 Nov, 6 PM ET

Denver33%67%Weber St

Projected 68-62 · Game page

Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-18

Net rating−11.0Rank 239 of 363 · offence 248, defence 242

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 14-18 (8 to 20 wins)
Projected conference record: 7-13
Wins or shares the conference title: <1%
Wins the conference tournament: 1%
Average seed if in the field: —
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field1%
Round of 320%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Tue 3 Nov	vs Westminster (UT)not Division I	Home	—	—	W 86-46
Sat 7 Nov6 PM ET	vs Denverrank 260	Home	67%	68-62	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: <1% · the next 7 days

Sat 7 Nov: vs DenverA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Hannah RobbinsG	1	26.0	21.0	10.0	1.0	−1.6	+0.3
Sydney WhiteG	1	26.0	10.0	1.0	5.0	−3.4	−0.6
Grace HintzG · transfer from Montana St	1	25.0	17.0	9.0	3.0	−2.2	0.0
Nicole WillardsonF	1	24.0	2.0	5.0	1.0	−1.4	+0.3
Draya WackerG · transfer from Montana	1	22.0	5.0	5.0	2.0	−3.3	−0.5
Siena GuttadauroG · transfer from UTSA	1	22.0	11.0	4.0	4.0	−1.8	+0.1
Paris LauroF	1	21.0	10.0	5.0	0.0	−2.4	−0.1
Dakota NapG	1	21.0	5.0	0.0	3.0	−1.9	+0.1
Berkley HartG	1	6.0	1.0	4.0	0.0	−1.5	+0.1
Sidney AndersonG	1	3.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−1.4	0.0
Celestine SegretainG	1	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−1.4	0.0
Izabella JuarezG	1	2.0	4.0	1.0	0.0	−1.4	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.7%rank 137	44.7%rank 132	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.8%rank 144	23.8%rank 126	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	33.5%rank 137	33.5%rank 135	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.5%rank 127	20.5%rank 140	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −11.0
Last season's net rating: −10.1
Last season's minutes returning: 49%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −0.7
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 84.5 (rank 248)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 95.5 (rank 242)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 73.9 (rank 113)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Big Sky Conference by rating

11 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Montana State	1-0	0-0	+16.3	98.4	82.1	51
2	Idaho	1-0	0-0	+4.0	92.9	88.9	107
3	Eastern Washington	0-1	0-0	+0.5	91.7	91.2	140
4	Northern Colorado	1-0	0-0	−2.1	89.4	91.5	164
5	Southern Utah	1-0	0-0	−2.8	92.2	95.0	170
6	Idaho State	0-1	0-0	−6.2	85.2	91.4	197
7	Northern Arizona	0-0	0-0	−9.1	87.3	96.3	220
8	Montana	1-0	0-0	−9.3	88.0	97.2	225
9	Weber State	1-0	0-0	−11.0	84.5	95.5	239
10	Utah Tech	1-0	0-0	−19.7	79.4	99.1	324
11	Portland State	0-1	0-0	−19.9	79.5	99.4	327