Utah Tech Trailblazers
Next: vs CA Baptist · Fri 6 Nov, 8 PM ETProjected 64-75 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-23
Net rating−19.7Rank 325 of 363 · offence 321, defence 312
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-23 (5 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-16
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 0%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Life Pacificnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 107-39 | |
| Fri 6 Nov8 PM ET | vs California Baptistrank 151 | Home | 21% | 64-75 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov9 PM ET | vs Nelson American Indiannot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: vs California BaptistA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava SmithG · transfer from Bellarmine | 1 | 27.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | −8.1 | −3.0 |
| Maci HessF | 1 | 26.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −3.3 | −0.5 |
| Kendall DykstraG | 1 | 26.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | −3.1 | −0.5 |
| Savannah StokerF | 1 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −3.1 | −0.4 |
| Sophia ZufeltG · transfer from UT Rio Grande | 1 | 23.0 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −4.6 | −1.0 |
| Eva WoodwardC | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| Alyssa BowenG | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −3.1 | −0.3 |
| Gabby GomezG | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.3 |
| Calyn WoodG | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.6%rank 143 | 44.6%rank 134 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.9%rank 154 | 23.9%rank 129 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.4%rank 141 | 33.4%rank 137 | 33.4% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.4%rank 139 | 20.4%rank 146 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −19.7
- Last season's net rating
- −10.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 0%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −6.4
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 79.2 (rank 321)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 98.9 (rank 312)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.0 (rank 96)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Big Sky Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +16.3 | 98.2 | 81.9 | 53 |
| 2 | Idaho | 1-0 | 0-0 | +4.0 | 92.7 | 88.7 | 107 |
| 3 | Eastern Washington | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 91.5 | 91.0 | 137 |
| 4 | Northern Colorado | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.1 | 89.2 | 91.3 | 162 |
| 5 | Southern Utah | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.8 | 92.0 | 94.8 | 169 |
| 6 | Idaho State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.1 | 85.1 | 91.2 | 193 |
| 7 | Northern Arizona | 0-0 | 0-0 | −9.1 | 87.1 | 96.1 | 223 |
| 8 | Montana | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 87.8 | 97.0 | 226 |
| 9 | Weber State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.0 | 84.3 | 95.3 | 241 |
| 10 | Utah Tech | 1-0 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 79.2 | 98.9 | 325 |
| 11 | Portland State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.0 | 79.3 | 99.3 | 329 |