Eastern Washington Eagles
Makes the tournament8%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 21-13
Net rating+0.5Rank 140 of 363 · offence 133, defence 141
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 21-13 (15 to 27 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 13-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 4%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 7%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field8%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: vs UC DavisA win: 8% · a loss: 8%0 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: at Oregon StateA win: 9% · a loss: 7%+2 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaecy EggersF | 1 | 36.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | +1.4 | +2.4 |
| Elyn BowersG | 1 | 36.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | +1.0 | +2.1 |
| Kourtney GrossmanF | 1 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | +3.1 | +3.2 |
| Emily McElmurryG | 1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.5 | −0.2 |
| Alyse AbyG · transfer from Idaho St | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.7 | +0.6 |
| Caitie GingrasG | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Madeline GibbsG | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Deets ParrishG | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −0.3 | +0.2 |
| Camille DakeF | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.1 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.5%rank 246 | 45.9%rank 310 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 21.7%rank 7 | 24.5%rank 71 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 35.2%rank 45 | 31.1%rank 19 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 18.6%rank 334 | 21.1%rank 274 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −11.7 points a game (they shot 40.6%, league 28.4%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −3.5
- Last season's net rating
- −4.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 74%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.3
- Change since preseason
- +4.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 91.7 (rank 133)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 91.2 (rank 141)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.3 (rank 73)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +9.5 (rank 78)
Big Sky Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +16.3 | 98.4 | 82.1 | 51 |
| 2 | Idaho | 1-0 | 0-0 | +4.0 | 92.9 | 88.9 | 107 |
| 3 | Eastern Washington | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.5 | 91.7 | 91.2 | 140 |
| 4 | Northern Colorado | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.1 | 89.4 | 91.5 | 164 |
| 5 | Southern Utah | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.8 | 92.2 | 95.0 | 170 |
| 6 | Idaho State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 85.2 | 91.4 | 197 |
| 7 | Northern Arizona | 0-0 | 0-0 | −9.1 | 87.3 | 96.3 | 220 |
| 8 | Montana | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 88.0 | 97.2 | 225 |
| 9 | Weber State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.0 | 84.5 | 95.5 | 239 |
| 10 | Utah Tech | 1-0 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 79.4 | 99.1 | 324 |
| 11 | Portland State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.9 | 79.5 | 99.4 | 327 |