Florida International Panthers

Women's · Conference USA · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Next: vs Stetson · Tue 10 Nov, 7 PM ET

Stetson39%61%FIU

Projected 67-63 · Game page

Makes the tournament0%From 20,000 simulated seasons

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-18

Net rating−13.2Rank 270 of 363 · offence 289, defence 240

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 11-18 (6 to 15 wins)
Projected conference record: 6-12
Wins or shares the conference title: <1%
Wins the conference tournament: <1%
Average seed if in the field: —
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field0%
Round of 320%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Tue 3 Nov	vs Jacksonvillerank 147	Home	55%	71-69	L 64-75	Wrong
Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET	vs Stetsonrank 249	Home	61%	67-63	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: <1% · the next 7 days

Tue 10 Nov: vs StetsonA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Grecia Ferrer LealG	1	39.0	13.0	1.0	6.0	−3.8	−1.2
Fantasia JamesG	1	36.0	19.0	4.0	1.0	−1.9	+0.2
BreAunna WardG · transfer from Evansville	1	31.0	16.0	2.0	1.0	−3.7	−0.9
Madussou BambaG	1	29.0	6.0	2.0	2.0	−2.9	−0.4
Shorna PrestonF · transfer from Pepperdine	1	23.0	8.0	8.0	1.0	+1.8	+1.7
Frode Flos van der SchansF · transfer from Chattanooga	1	19.0	2.0	5.0	1.0	−2.9	−0.3
Chloe EmangaG · transfer from Seattle U	1	11.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	−6.1	−0.8
Paula AcinG	1	2.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	−2.1	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	45.2%rank 107	44.9%rank 243	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	26.3%rank 354	24.6%rank 64	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	32.0%rank 310	35.7%rank 340	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	21.3%rank 79	24.8%rank 360	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 0.0 won, 0.6 expected (−0.6)
Opponents' three-point shooting: +1.6 points a game (they shot 25.0%, league 28.4%)
Opponents' free throws: −3.0 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −8.9
Last season's net rating: −1.5
Last season's minutes returning: 41%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −4.4
Change since preseason: −4.3

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 82.2 (rank 289)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 95.4 (rank 240)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 75.2 (rank 32)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: −0.6 (rank 129)

Conference USA by rating

10 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Missouri State	1-0	0-0	+10.9	95.8	84.9	72
2	Liberty	1-0	0-0	+8.8	98.0	89.2	85
3	Middle Tennessee	1-0	0-0	+2.8	93.9	91.1	113
4	Western Kentucky	1-0	0-0	−7.7	86.2	93.9	209
5	Sam Houston	1-0	0-0	−10.4	82.3	92.7	233
6	Jacksonville State	1-0	0-0	−11.5	83.6	95.1	246
7	Kennesaw State	2-0	0-0	−12.1	82.4	94.5	254
8	Florida International	0-1	0-0	−13.2	82.2	95.4	270
9	Delaware	0-1	0-0	−17.0	83.8	100.8	302
10	New Mexico State	0-1	0-0	−17.3	79.8	97.1	304