Delaware Blue Hens
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 9-22
Net rating−17.0Rank 302 of 363 · offence 259, defence 341
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 9-22 (4 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | at Virginia Techrank 31 | Away | 1% | 50-82 | L 53-101 | Right |
| Mon 9 Nov4 PM ET | at Towsonrank 203 | Away | 16% | 61-74 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7:30 PM ET | at Wisconsinrank 67 | Away | 1% | 56-86 | — |
Rooting guide
- Mon 9 Nov: at TowsonA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at WisconsinA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frances UlysseF · transfer from Longwood | 1 | 27.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.3 |
| Kendall ScottG | 1 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.8 | −1.3 |
| Sanyiah LittlejohnG · transfer from George Mason | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| London CaldwellG | 1 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −3.6 | −0.5 |
| Elle StoneG | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.5 |
| Ema RychteckaF | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.5 |
| Daniella MatusG · transfer from Loyola Chicago | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.8 | −1.2 |
| Ava AndrewsF | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.5 | −0.3 |
| Regina DonanuG | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.4 | −0.2 |
| Jordyn ColemanF · transfer from Abilene Chrstn | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | 0.0 |
| Amalia FruchtmanF | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.3 | −0.2 |
| Milena BigovicF | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.3 | −0.2 |
| Gianna JohnsonF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.9 | −0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.6%rank 297 | 47.2%rank 351 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.1%rank 263 | 22.6%rank 320 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.8%rank 121 | 34.4%rank 278 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 22.8%rank 24 | 20.4%rank 138 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −2.6 points a game (they shot 36.4%, league 28.4%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −11.8
- Last season's net rating
- −8.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 14%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.7
- Change since preseason
- −5.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 83.8 (rank 259)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 100.8 (rank 341)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.6 (rank 135)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +22.9 (rank 29)
Conference USA by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Missouri State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.9 | 95.8 | 84.9 | 72 |
| 2 | Liberty | 1-0 | 0-0 | +8.8 | 98.0 | 89.2 | 85 |
| 3 | Middle Tennessee | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.8 | 93.9 | 91.1 | 113 |
| 4 | Western Kentucky | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.7 | 86.2 | 93.9 | 209 |
| 5 | Sam Houston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.4 | 82.3 | 92.7 | 233 |
| 6 | Jacksonville State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 83.6 | 95.1 | 246 |
| 7 | Kennesaw State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −12.1 | 82.4 | 94.5 | 254 |
| 8 | Florida International | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.2 | 82.2 | 95.4 | 270 |
| 9 | Delaware | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.0 | 83.8 | 100.8 | 302 |
| 10 | New Mexico State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.3 | 79.8 | 97.1 | 304 |