Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Women's · Conference USA · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: vs Life University · Fri 6 Nov, 12 PM ET

Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.

Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.6

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-17

Net rating−11.5Rank 249 of 363 · offence 266, defence 232

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 15-17 (9 to 21 wins)
Projected conference record: 7-11
Wins or shares the conference title: 1%
Wins the conference tournament: 1%
Average seed if in the field: 14.6
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field1%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result
Mon 2 Nov	vs Oglethorpenot Division I	Home	—	—	W 75-39
Fri 6 Nov12 PM ET	vs Life Universitynot Division I	Home	—	—	—
Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET	vs North Alabamarank 295	Home	74%	64-55	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 1% · the next 7 days

Mon 9 Nov: vs North AlabamaA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Kamryn CorporanG	1	35.0	13.0	6.0	9.0	−2.6	−0.3
Emily MonsonG · transfer from MTSU	1	32.0	22.0	6.0	0.0	−2.9	−0.4
Kyera ThornsburyG	1	31.0	4.0	4.0	3.0	−2.0	+0.1
Camden WardF · transfer from UT Martin	1	24.0	11.0	5.0	2.0	−2.9	−0.3
Solene JacksonG	1	18.0	7.0	3.0	1.0	−2.3	0.0
Gabby MoralesG	1	15.0	4.0	1.0	0.0	−2.2	0.0
Lillian JacksonF	1	13.0	4.0	3.0	0.0	−2.2	0.0
Mina DjurdjevicF	1	13.0	0.0	6.0	0.0	−2.4	−0.1
Rocio JiménezC · transfer from Mississippi St	1	11.0	6.0	8.0	0.0	+0.4	+0.5
Anna SkogF	1	5.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	−1.9	0.0
Meja HänselF · transfer from UCF	1	1.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	−1.1	0.0
Nahia FernandezG	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−1.8	0.0
Kayna ChninaG	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−1.8	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.6%rank 139	44.6%rank 134	44.6%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.9%rank 151	23.9%rank 128	23.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	33.5%rank 140	33.5%rank 137	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.4%rank 137	20.4%rank 144	20.4%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −11.5
Last season's net rating: −6.9
Last season's minutes returning: 17%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −0.6
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 83.5 (rank 266)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 95.0 (rank 232)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 71.2 (rank 338)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Conference USA by rating

10 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Missouri State	1-0	0-0	+10.9	95.7	84.8	72
2	Liberty	1-0	0-0	+8.8	97.9	89.1	85
3	Middle Tennessee	1-0	0-0	+2.8	93.8	91.0	113
4	Western Kentucky	1-0	0-0	−7.8	86.1	93.8	210
5	Sam Houston	1-0	0-0	−10.4	82.2	92.6	234
6	Jacksonville State	1-0	0-0	−11.5	83.5	95.0	249
7	Kennesaw State	2-0	0-0	−12.1	82.3	94.4	256
8	Florida International	0-1	0-0	−13.2	82.1	95.3	270
9	Delaware	0-1	0-0	−17.0	83.7	100.7	301
10	New Mexico State	0-1	0-0	−17.3	79.7	97.0	304