Kennesaw State Owls
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-20
Net rating−12.1Rank 252 of 363 · offence 283, defence 220
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-20 (8 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Shorternot Division I | Home | — | — | W 72-42 | |
| Wed 4 Nov | vs Clayton Statenot Division I | Home | — | — | W 75-37 | |
| Sat 7 Nov2 PM ET | at Florida Atlanticrank 221 | Away | 30% | 60-67 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6:30 PM ET | at Georgiarank 43 | Away | 1% | 50-81 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at Florida AtlanticA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at GeorgiaA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaelyn FlowersG | 2 | 33.5 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | −3.1 | −0.6 |
| Riley TalbertG · transfer from UAB | 2 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Tracey BershersF · transfer from Minnesota | 2 | 23.5 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | +1.7 | +1.6 |
| Shania NicholsG | 2 | 22.0 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Madyson ElliottG | 2 | 20.5 | 9.5 | 9.0 | 2.0 | −4.5 | −0.9 |
| Arissa JenkinsG | 2 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Kayla SullivanF · transfer from Valparaiso | 2 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −6.0 | −1.0 |
| Cameron WadeG | 2 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Emaya LewisF | 2 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.3 | 0.0 |
| Lamarah CleavesF | 2 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | −1.5 | +0.1 |
| Uliana KolesnykF | 2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | −1.4 | +0.1 |
| Nyjae Malikali-ElG | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −1.3 | 0.0 |
| Camryn RegisterG · transfer from Samford | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.9 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 148 | 44.7%rank 141 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.9%rank 167 | 23.9%rank 138 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.3%rank 147 | 33.3%rank 147 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.8%rank 147 | 20.8%rank 154 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −12.1
- Last season's net rating
- −9.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 33%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.9
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 82.4 (rank 283)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 94.5 (rank 220)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.5 (rank 133)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Conference USA by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Missouri State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +11.0 | 95.9 | 84.9 | 72 |
| 2 | Liberty | 1-0 | 0-0 | +8.8 | 98.0 | 89.2 | 85 |
| 3 | Middle Tennessee | 1-0 | 0-0 | +3.3 | 93.9 | 90.6 | 110 |
| 4 | Western Kentucky | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.7 | 86.3 | 93.9 | 209 |
| 5 | Sam Houston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.4 | 82.3 | 92.7 | 234 |
| 6 | Jacksonville State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 83.6 | 95.1 | 245 |
| 7 | Kennesaw State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −12.1 | 82.4 | 94.5 | 252 |
| 8 | Florida International | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.8 | 81.9 | 94.7 | 266 |
| 9 | Delaware | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.0 | 83.8 | 100.8 | 304 |
| 10 | New Mexico State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.2 | 79.8 | 97.1 | 307 |