West Georgia Wolves

Women's · United Athletic Conference · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Next: vs Alabama St · Sat 7 Nov, 2 PM ET

Alabama St12%88%West Georgia

Projected 75-60 · Game page

Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.3

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-18

Net rating−13.0Rank 269 of 363 · offence 222, defence 317

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 15-18 (10 to 21 wins)
Projected conference record: 5-11
Wins or shares the conference title: <1%
Wins the conference tournament: 1%
Average seed if in the field: 15.3
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field1%
Round of 320%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	at Georgiarank 45	Away	3%	68-95	L 53-92	Right
Sat 7 Nov2 PM ET	vs Alabama Staterank 349	Home	88%	75-60	—
Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET	vs Fort Valley Statenot Division I	Home	—	—	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: <1% · the next 7 days

Sat 7 Nov: vs Alabama StateA win: <1% · a loss: 1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Grace O'GaraG	1	32.0	2.0	2.0	3.0	−2.8	−0.4
Sydne TolbertG	1	32.0	12.0	2.0	4.0	−1.1	+0.6
Meghan GentileG	1	31.0	19.0	4.0	1.0	−3.0	−0.5
Kobi BarnesF	1	29.0	2.0	7.0	0.0	−3.1	−0.5
Parris ParhamG	1	28.0	2.0	4.0	0.0	−3.1	−0.5
Mya JonesG	1	23.0	4.0	1.0	0.0	−2.9	−0.3
Ongolea AfuF · transfer from UNLV	1	12.0	9.0	4.0	1.0	−2.5	−0.1
Trishay CollinsF	1	5.0	2.0	5.0	0.0	−2.4	0.0
Liyah WilliamsG	1	5.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−2.4	0.0
Areille MarcF	1	3.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	−2.3	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	43.8%rank 289	45.0%rank 247	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.8%rank 138	21.9%rank 349	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	32.9%rank 267	33.9%rank 250	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	22.0%rank 44	19.1%rank 63	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting: −5.6 points a game (they shot 45.5%, league 28.5%)
Opponents' free throws: −1.5 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −11.1
Last season's net rating: −7.5
Last season's minutes returning: 35%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: 0.0
Change since preseason: −2.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 86.4 (rank 222)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 99.5 (rank 317)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 74.0 (rank 99)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: +17.4 (rank 42)

United Athletic Conference by rating

9 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Abilene Christian	1-0	0-0	+7.7	96.1	88.4	89
2	Central Arkansas	1-0	0-0	+2.5	92.3	89.8	116
3	Austin Peay	1-0	0-0	+0.6	89.5	88.9	134
4	Eastern Kentucky	0-1	0-0	−3.5	93.3	96.8	182
5	Tarleton State	1-0	0-0	−9.2	83.5	92.7	224
6	Little Rock	1-0	0-0	−9.9	84.6	94.5	230
7	West Georgia	0-1	0-0	−13.0	86.4	99.5	269
8	UT Arlington	0-1	0-0	−14.6	83.0	97.6	284
9	North Alabama	0-1	0-0	−16.4	78.2	94.5	295