Wofford Terriers
Next: vs King (TN) · Thu 5 Nov, 7 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament23%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.1
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 19-12
Net rating−5.6Rank 194 of 363 · offence 198, defence 190
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 19-12 (14 to 25 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 11-5
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 29%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 23%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.1
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field23%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at NC Staterank 23 | Away | 1% | 64-98 | L 50-80 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | vs King (TN)not Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET | at Georgia Staterank 229 | Away | 46% | 68-69 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov11 AM ET | vs North Greenvillenot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: at Georgia StateA win: 23% · a loss: 23%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly MasingaleG | 1 | 27.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −0.8 | +0.7 |
| Gabby MundyG | 1 | 27.0 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | +1.1 | +1.6 |
| Sayler LoweF | 1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Mearah WhiteheadG | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Maddie HeissG | 1 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −0.5 | +0.7 |
| Courtney SwiderF | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Angelina PelayoF · transfer from UNC Wilmington | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Elli PorterG | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −2.8 | −0.2 |
| Emmanuelle BroudeF | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −1.3 | +0.2 |
| Sienna WolfeG | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.1 | +0.1 |
| Abby EllerG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Aleksandra NoworolF | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.1%rank 326 | 45.8%rank 306 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 22.4%rank 37 | 23.9%rank 116 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.2%rank 251 | 32.7%rank 86 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.4%rank 282 | 19.0%rank 57 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −0.6 points a game (they shot 29.0%, league 28.4%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.2 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −6.9
- Last season's net rating
- −7.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 61%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.6
- Change since preseason
- +1.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 87.6 (rank 198)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 93.2 (rank 190)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.2 (rank 286)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +28.3 (rank 22)
Southern Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Tennessee State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.6 | 89.3 | 90.8 | 155 |
| 2 | Wofford | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.6 | 87.6 | 93.2 | 194 |
| 3 | Furman | 1-1 | 0-0 | −10.4 | 85.7 | 96.1 | 234 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 1-1 | 0-0 | −11.2 | 84.5 | 95.7 | 241 |
| 5 | Samford | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.3 | 85.0 | 98.3 | 272 |
| 6 | Tennessee Tech | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.9 | 86.7 | 100.5 | 276 |
| 7 | UNC Greensboro | 1-0 | 0-0 | −15.7 | 80.4 | 96.1 | 293 |
| 8 | Mercer | 1-0 | 0-0 | −17.9 | 80.3 | 98.2 | 307 |
| 9 | Western Carolina | 1-0 | 0-0 | −21.8 | 78.7 | 100.4 | 336 |