Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.5
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-15
Net rating−12.5Rank 262 of 363 · offence 208, defence 323
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-15 (8 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 6%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 6%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.5
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field6%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- Mon 9 Nov: at MissouriA win: 6% · a loss: 7%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savannah DavisG · transfer from MTSU | 2 | 35.5 | 16.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | −3.6 | −1.0 |
| Karson MartinG · transfer from Quinnipiac | 2 | 33.5 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | +0.4 | +1.6 |
| Morgan SieperG · transfer from Southern Miss | 2 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | −4.5 | −1.3 |
| LaReesha CawthornF | 2 | 23.5 | 11.5 | 8.5 | 1.0 | +0.7 | +1.2 |
| Evie FreemanG | 2 | 21.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | −3.4 | −0.5 |
| Lyriq MastinG | 2 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | −4.7 | −0.6 |
| Amaya ReddF | 2 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −3.3 | −0.3 |
| Zoey NicholasG | 2 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | −3.0 | −0.2 |
| Nyjah GibbsF | 2 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | −2.8 | −0.1 |
| Maddy NewmanF | 2 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Amaya ThomasG | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −3.6 | −0.1 |
| Amelia PfeifferC | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −0.2 |
| Maliyah GlasperG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.8%rank 140 | 46.9%rank 341 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.0%rank 78 | 23.6%rank 240 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.6%rank 250 | 32.9%rank 126 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.9%rank 136 | 23.8%rank 344 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.2 expected (−0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +2.1 points a game (they shot 23.1%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.8 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −7.6
- Last season's net rating
- −6.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 40%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +1.3
- Change since preseason
- −4.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 87.2 (rank 208)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 99.7 (rank 323)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.7 (rank 119)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +15.0 (rank 69)
Southern Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Tennessee State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −1.1 | 90.1 | 91.2 | 149 |
| 2 | Wofford | 1-1 | 0-0 | −5.7 | 87.6 | 93.3 | 190 |
| 3 | Furman | 1-1 | 0-0 | −10.5 | 85.7 | 96.2 | 236 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 1-1 | 0-0 | −11.2 | 84.5 | 95.7 | 243 |
| 5 | Samford | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.1 | 85.3 | 97.4 | 253 |
| 6 | Tennessee Tech | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.5 | 87.2 | 99.7 | 262 |
| 7 | Mercer | 2-0 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 80.3 | 94.4 | 277 |
| 8 | UNC Greensboro | 2-0 | 0-0 | −15.6 | 80.2 | 95.7 | 293 |
| 9 | Western Carolina | 2-0 | 0-0 | −16.9 | 83.3 | 100.2 | 303 |