Loyola Marymount Lions
Next: at Utah State · Fri 6 Nov, 4 PM ETProjected 75-62 · Game page
Makes the tournament16%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 12.3
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 24-11
Net rating+5.6Rank 95 of 363 · offence 75, defence 151
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 24-11 (17 to 29 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 12-6
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 11%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 12%
- Average seed if in the field
- 12.3
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field16%
- Round of 321%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight<1%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Nevadarank 257 | Home | 80% | 83-72 | W 89-64 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov4 PM ET | at Utah Staterank 284 | Away | 82% | 75-62 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov3 PM ET | vs Life Pacificnot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at Utah StateA win: 16% · a loss: 16%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison ClarkeG | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | +0.2 | +1.3 |
| Shawnee NordstromG · transfer from CA Baptist | 1 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | +1.3 | +1.8 |
| Maya HernandezF | 1 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | +5.0 | +3.4 |
| Ivana KrajinaG | 1 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −0.1 | +0.9 |
| Kayla JonesF | 1 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | +1.6 | +1.6 |
| Ali'a MatavaoF | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.4 |
| Sarah DengG · transfer from Florida | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +1.9 | +1.0 |
| Danae PowellG · transfer from Fresno St | 1 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | +2.5 | +1.0 |
| Erica FinneyG | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.6 | +0.3 |
| Mari SomvichianG | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | +0.1 |
| Ana MilanovicF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.7 | +0.1 |
| Shanayka IsmarG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.4 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 46.8%rank 33 | 45.6%rank 282 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.9%rank 231 | 25.2%rank 43 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.4%rank 137 | 35.0%rank 312 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 22.0%rank 68 | 21.7%rank 279 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.8 expected (+0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −6.4 points a game (they shot 37.5%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +1.0
- Last season's net rating
- +7.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 43%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.5
- Change since preseason
- +4.6
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 97.1 (rank 75)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 91.5 (rank 151)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.1 (rank 172)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −12.4 (rank 224)
West Coast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Clara | 1-0 | 0-0 | +16.4 | 102.8 | 86.4 | 52 |
| 2 | Portland | 1-0 | 0-0 | +8.3 | 95.1 | 86.8 | 86 |
| 3 | Loyola Marymount | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.6 | 97.1 | 91.5 | 95 |
| 4 | San Francisco | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.8 | 93.2 | 91.4 | 122 |
| 5 | Pepperdine | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.1 | 89.9 | 88.8 | 131 |
| 6 | Pacific | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.2 | 89.8 | 93.0 | 177 |
| 7 | San Diego | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.5 | 84.7 | 93.2 | 217 |
| 8 | Saint Mary's | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 83.2 | 94.7 | 246 |
| 9 | Denver | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.4 | 83.7 | 96.1 | 259 |
| 10 | Seattle U | 1-0 | 0-0 | −20.3 | 80.0 | 100.4 | 330 |