Utah Valley Wolverines
Next: vs Santa Clara · Sat 7 Nov, 6 PM ETProjected 61-78 · Game page
Makes the tournament4%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 17-17
Net rating−8.3Rank 214 of 363 · offence 254, defence 174
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 17-17 (10 to 24 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 11-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 3%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 4%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field4%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | vs Park University Gilbertnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 85-32 | |
| Sat 7 Nov6 PM ET | vs Santa Clararank 50 | Home | 11% | 61-78 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs Santa ClaraA win: 5% · a loss: 4%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren JohnsonF · transfer from Utah Tech | 1 | 22.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −1.1 | +0.4 |
| Cambree BlackhamG | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | −0.8 | +0.6 |
| Anna ShreeveG | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Naia TanuvasaG | 1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −2.8 | −0.2 |
| Olivia StephensG | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Tabi ClarkG | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Elizabeth GentryF · transfer from Creighton | 1 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | +0.5 | +0.8 |
| Kendra KitchenF | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Maren McKennaG | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Gracie JohnsonF | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Gabi MoultrieG | 1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Evie LeesonF | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.1 |
| Heather StedmanG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.8 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 137 | 44.7%rank 132 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.8%rank 144 | 23.8%rank 126 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.5%rank 137 | 33.5%rank 133 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.5%rank 127 | 20.5%rank 139 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −8.4
- Last season's net rating
- −3.6
- Last season's minutes returning
- 22%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.5
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 84.2 (rank 254)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 92.6 (rank 174)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.5 (rank 142)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Big West Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UC Irvine | 0-0 | 0-0 | +6.0 | 94.9 | 88.9 | 96 |
| 2 | UC San Diego | 0-1 | 0-0 | +3.5 | 90.6 | 87.2 | 110 |
| 3 | UC Santa Barbara | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.2 | 91.8 | 92.0 | 143 |
| 4 | California Baptist | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.3 | 92.5 | 93.8 | 152 |
| 5 | Sacramento State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.2 | 87.8 | 92.1 | 184 |
| 6 | Utah Valley | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.3 | 84.2 | 92.6 | 214 |
| 7 | Cal State Fullerton | 1-1 | 0-0 | −11.0 | 84.6 | 95.6 | 240 |
| 8 | UC Riverside | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.7 | 83.7 | 95.4 | 250 |
| 9 | Cal State Northridge | 1-0 | 0-0 | −16.7 | 80.4 | 97.1 | 300 |
| 10 | Cal Poly | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.3 | 80.4 | 98.7 | 313 |
| 11 | Long Beach State | 0-0 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 80.0 | 99.6 | 324 |
| 12 | Cal State Bakersfield | 1-0 | 0-0 | −22.2 | 77.2 | 99.4 | 338 |