UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
Next: at Pepperdine · Thu 5 Nov, 8 PM ETProjected 62-68 · Game page
Makes the tournament17%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 23-11
Net rating−0.2Rank 144 of 363 · offence 133, defence 159
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 23-11 (17 to 30 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 16-6
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 18%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 15%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field17%
- Round of 321%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | vs UC Santa Cruznot Division I | Home | — | — | W 101-26 | |
| Thu 5 Nov8 PM ET | at Pepperdinerank 130 | Away | 34% | 62-68 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov9 PM ET | vs Seattle Urank 329 | Home | 94% | 77-55 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at PepperdineA win: 17% · a loss: 16%+1 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: vs Seattle UA win: 17% · a loss: 15%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah HeynG | 1 | 25.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Naomy Zonzon-HuygheG · transfer from UC Irvine | 1 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | +0.9 | +1.2 |
| Karisma FloresG | 1 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Chauncey AndersenG | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | +0.2 | +0.9 |
| Mauriana Hashemian-OrrG · transfer from Saint Mary's | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | −0.3 | +0.6 |
| Charlotte LipkinF | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Maddie NaroG | 1 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | +0.2 | +0.8 |
| Zoe BorterF | 1 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | +2.3 | +1.4 |
| Olivia AndersonF · transfer from Washington | 1 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | +3.3 | +1.5 |
| Ava AlbaneseF | 1 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Nicole SteinerF · transfer from Fullerton | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | +1.4 | +0.8 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 137 | 44.7%rank 132 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.8%rank 144 | 23.8%rank 126 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.5%rank 137 | 33.5%rank 135 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.5%rank 127 | 20.5%rank 140 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −0.2
- Last season's net rating
- +3.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 56%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.5
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 91.7 (rank 133)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 91.9 (rank 159)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.2 (rank 286)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Big West Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UC Irvine | 0-0 | 0-0 | +6.0 | 94.8 | 88.8 | 96 |
| 2 | UC San Diego | 0-1 | 0-0 | +3.5 | 90.5 | 87.1 | 110 |
| 3 | UC Santa Barbara | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.2 | 91.7 | 91.9 | 144 |
| 4 | California Baptist | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.3 | 92.4 | 93.7 | 153 |
| 5 | Sacramento State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.3 | 87.7 | 92.0 | 184 |
| 6 | Utah Valley | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.3 | 84.1 | 92.5 | 214 |
| 7 | Cal State Fullerton | 1-1 | 0-0 | −11.0 | 84.5 | 95.5 | 240 |
| 8 | UC Riverside | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.7 | 83.6 | 95.3 | 250 |
| 9 | Cal State Northridge | 1-0 | 0-0 | −16.7 | 80.4 | 97.0 | 300 |
| 10 | Cal Poly | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.3 | 80.3 | 98.7 | 313 |
| 11 | Long Beach State | 0-0 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 79.9 | 99.6 | 324 |
| 12 | Cal State Bakersfield | 1-0 | 0-0 | −22.2 | 77.1 | 99.3 | 339 |