Cleveland State Vikings
Next: vs Michigan Dearborn · Fri 6 Nov, 7 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 9-23
Net rating−17.3Rank 333 of 365 · offence 290, defence 353
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 9-23 (5 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-15
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Chance of making the field, day by day
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Missourirank 30 | Away | 1% | 63-90 | L 50-111 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | vs Michigan Dearbornnot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | at Bowling Greenrank 182 | Away | 13% | 69-83 | — | |
| Fri 13 Nov3 PM ET | vs West Floridarank 271 | Neutral | 34% | 74-79 | — |
Rooting guide
- Mon 9 Nov: at Bowling GreenA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Fri 13 Nov: vs West FloridaA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayvon GriffithG · transfer from Kent State | 1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.8 |
| Jordan LoweryG · transfer from UT Arlington | 1 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −3.7 | −0.8 |
| Dre JonesF · transfer from Kent State | 1 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.3 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr.G · transfer from North Texas | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −4.3 | −0.9 |
| Ogbe UagboeG | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −3.6 | −0.6 |
| Gavin HeadingsF | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −3.6 | −0.5 |
| Alex BruskotterG · transfer from Wright St | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Brandon WhiteC | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −3.5 | −0.3 |
| Micah BaysG | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −3.3 | −0.2 |
| Obie Bronston Jr.G · transfer from SC State | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −5.2 | −0.4 |
| Braden McCruterF | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −3.2 | −0.1 |
| Xavier McKinneyG | 1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 48.4%rank 323 | 53.1%rank 355 | 50.2% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.5%rank 155 | 16.8%rank 359 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.8%rank 200 | 32.6%rank 277 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.8%rank 258 | 23.9%rank 54 | 25.7% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −12.2 points a game (they shot 45.2%, league 32.0%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −13.0
- Last season's net rating
- −15.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 0%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.2
- Change since preseason
- −4.3
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 97.7 (rank 290)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 115.0 (rank 353)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.2 (rank 65)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +20.2 (rank 23)
Horizon League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wright State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +0.5 | 108.0 | 107.5 | 125 |
| 2 | Oakland | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.2 | 105.0 | 108.2 | 159 |
| 3 | Northern Kentucky | 2-0 | 0-0 | −4.4 | 106.2 | 110.5 | 176 |
| 4 | Green Bay | 1-1 | 0-0 | −4.6 | 104.8 | 109.3 | 180 |
| 5 | Youngstown State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 100.4 | 106.7 | 207 |
| 6 | Robert Morris | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.4 | 101.6 | 108.0 | 209 |
| 7 | Milwaukee | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.3 | 100.5 | 107.8 | 222 |
| 8 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.0 | 100.4 | 108.3 | 229 |
| 9 | Detroit Mercy | 0-0 | 0-0 | −8.0 | 100.8 | 108.9 | 230 |
| 10 | IU Indianapolis | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.5 | 99.5 | 112.9 | 296 |
| 11 | Cleveland State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.3 | 97.7 | 115.0 | 333 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois | 0-2 | 0-0 | −20.3 | 98.6 | 118.8 | 351 |