IU Indianapolis Jaguars
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-21
Net rating−13.5Rank 297 of 365 · offence 256, defence 332
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 13-21 (7 to 19 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Miami (OH) Middletownnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 113-76 | |
| Sat 7 Nov5 PM ET | vs UT Martinrank 255 | Home | 54% | 77-76 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6:30 PM ET | vs Southern Indianarank 332 | Home | 73% | 79-72 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs UT MartinA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs Southern IndianaA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton HeissG | 1 | 24.0 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | −2.7 | −0.3 |
| Gus EtchisonG · transfer from Idaho St | 1 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −0.4 | +0.7 |
| Kameron TinsleyF | 1 | 21.0 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | −4.0 | −0.8 |
| Tarik Fadel MulaG | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Manasseh StackhouseF | 1 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | −2.5 | −0.2 |
| Trey DrexlerG | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Markus Pastorcic-StraunG | 1 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Billy SmithG · transfer from Chattanooga | 1 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −3.9 | −0.5 |
| Antoine ArnettF | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Jason Clarke Jr.G · transfer from App State | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −3.1 | −0.3 |
| Reece HagyF | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | −4.6 | −0.4 |
| Kaloyan KolevG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Landon OsswaldG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 135 | 50.4%rank 153 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.6%rank 155 | 18.6%rank 133 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.7%rank 127 | 31.7%rank 162 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.2%rank 133 | 25.2%rank 152 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −13.5
- Last season's net rating
- −13.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 13%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.9
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 99.5 (rank 256)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 113.0 (rank 332)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.9 (rank 6)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Horizon League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wright State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +0.4 | 108.1 | 107.6 | 124 |
| 2 | Oakland | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 105.2 | 108.2 | 157 |
| 3 | Northern Kentucky | 2-0 | 0-0 | −4.3 | 106.3 | 110.6 | 176 |
| 4 | Youngstown State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 100.6 | 106.7 | 201 |
| 5 | Robert Morris | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 101.8 | 108.1 | 204 |
| 6 | Green Bay | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.6 | 103.3 | 109.9 | 211 |
| 7 | Milwaukee | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 100.7 | 107.9 | 218 |
| 8 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.8 | 100.5 | 108.3 | 230 |
| 9 | Detroit Mercy | 0-0 | 0-0 | −8.0 | 100.9 | 109.0 | 233 |
| 10 | IU Indianapolis | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.5 | 99.5 | 113.0 | 297 |
| 11 | Cleveland State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.2 | 97.9 | 115.1 | 332 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.2 | 97.0 | 117.2 | 351 |