Milwaukee Panthers
Next: vs Ripon · Sun 8 Nov, 1 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament7%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-20
Net rating−7.2Rank 218 of 365 · offence 231, defence 198
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-20 (9 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 10-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 6%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 7%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field7%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at USCrank 48 | Away | 5% | 60-81 | L 63-95 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | at Santa Clararank 64 | Away | 4% | 67-87 | L 72-95 | Right |
| Sun 8 Nov1 PM ET | vs Riponnot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at Indiana Staterank 222 | Away | 36% | 73-77 | — |
Rooting guide
- Wed 11 Nov: at Indiana StateA win: 7% · a loss: 7%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre NormanG · transfer from Marquette | 2 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | −0.9 | +0.6 |
| Danilo JovanovichF | 2 | 26.5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | −0.7 | +0.7 |
| Amare HerefordG | 2 | 23.5 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Nate MalosaF | 2 | 22.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Aaron Womack IIIG | 2 | 16.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Isaiah DorceusG | 2 | 16.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
| Jake HansenG · transfer from Oklahoma | 2 | 15.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.5 | +0.4 |
| Al AmadouF · transfer from Saint Joseph's | 2 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Ben AkoroF | 2 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.1 |
| Chandler JacksonF | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | −0.3 | +0.6 |
| Dylan OmwenoG | 2 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −1.4 | +0.1 |
| John Lovelace Jr.G | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.3 | +0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.6%rank 281 | 52.1%rank 330 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.1%rank 295 | 18.6%rank 131 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.3%rank 93 | 30.4%rank 53 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.2%rank 131 | 24.3%rank 91 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −9.8 points a game (they shot 45.1%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −6.6
- Last season's net rating
- −8.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 29%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.3
- Change since preseason
- −0.5
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 100.7 (rank 231)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 107.9 (rank 198)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.2 (rank 85)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +13.8 (rank 56)
Horizon League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wright State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +0.4 | 108.1 | 107.6 | 124 |
| 2 | Oakland | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 105.2 | 108.2 | 157 |
| 3 | Northern Kentucky | 2-0 | 0-0 | −4.3 | 106.3 | 110.6 | 176 |
| 4 | Youngstown State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 100.6 | 106.7 | 201 |
| 5 | Robert Morris | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 101.8 | 108.1 | 204 |
| 6 | Green Bay | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.6 | 103.3 | 109.9 | 211 |
| 7 | Milwaukee | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 100.7 | 107.9 | 218 |
| 8 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.8 | 100.5 | 108.3 | 230 |
| 9 | Detroit Mercy | 0-0 | 0-0 | −8.0 | 100.9 | 109.0 | 233 |
| 10 | IU Indianapolis | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.5 | 99.5 | 113.0 | 297 |
| 11 | Cleveland State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.2 | 97.9 | 115.1 | 332 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.2 | 97.0 | 117.2 | 351 |