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Updated Thu 5 Nov, 7:19 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

Milwaukee Panthers

Men's · Horizon League · 0-2, 0-0 in conference · last L2

Makes the tournament7%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-20
Net rating−7.2Rank 218 of 365 · offence 231, defence 198

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons
Projected record
14-20 (9 to 20 wins)
Projected conference record
10-10
Wins or shares the conference title
6%
Wins the conference tournament
7%
Average seed if in the field
14.8
A 1 seed
0%
  1. Makes the field7%
  2. Round of 32<1%
  3. Sweet 160%
  4. Elite Eight0%
  5. Final Four0%
  6. Title game0%
  7. Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game
DateOpponentWhereWin chanceProjectedResultPick
Mon 2 Novat USCrank 48Away5%60-81L 63-95Right
Wed 4 Novat Santa Clararank 64Away4%67-87L 72-95Right
Sun 8 Nov1 PM ETvs Riponnot Division IHome———
Wed 11 Nov7 PM ETat Indiana Staterank 222Away36%73-77—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 7% · the next 7 days
  1. Wed 11 Nov: at Indiana StateA win: 7% · a loss: 7%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement
PlayerGamesMinutesPointsReboundsAssistsRatingValue
Tre NormanG · transfer from Marquette227.011.04.03.0−0.9+0.6
Danilo JovanovichF226.52.05.01.5−0.7+0.7
Amare HerefordG223.510.02.03.0−2.10.0
Nate MalosaF222.04.54.50.0−2.00.0
Aaron Womack IIIG216.57.02.00.0−1.7+0.1
Isaiah DorceusG216.56.03.01.5−2.9−0.2
Jake HansenG · transfer from Oklahoma215.55.01.00.0−0.5+0.4
Al AmadouF · transfer from Saint Joseph's214.56.52.50.0−1.6+0.1
Ben AkoroF212.54.56.50.0−1.5+0.1
Chandler JacksonF118.03.01.03.0−0.3+0.6
Dylan OmwenoG29.06.50.50.0−1.4+0.1
John Lovelace Jr.G116.06.00.00.0−1.3+0.2

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

OffenceDefenceLeague
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin49.6%rank 28152.1%rank 33050.4%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin19.1%rank 29518.6%rank 13118.6%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin32.3%rank 9330.4%rank 5331.7%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin25.2%rank 13124.3%rank 9125.2%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances
0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
Opponents' three-point shooting
−9.8 points a game (they shot 45.1%, league 32.3%)
Opponents' free throws
−1.4 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

2 games played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team
−8−6−4−20+21 NovNow−7.2−8−6−4−20+21 NovNow−7.2
Preseason net rating
−6.6
Last season's net rating
−8.3
Last season's minutes returning
29%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes
+0.3
Change since preseason
−0.5
Offence, points per 100 possessions
100.7 (rank 231)
Defence, points allowed per 100
107.9 (rank 198)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
72.2 (rank 85)
Schedule so far, opponents' average
+13.8 (rank 56)

Horizon League by rating

12 teams
#TeamRecordConferenceNetOffenceDefenceNational rank
1Wright State1-00-0+0.4108.1107.6124
2Oakland0-10-0−3.0105.2108.2157
3Northern Kentucky2-00-0−4.3106.3110.6176
4Youngstown State1-00-0−6.2100.6106.7201
5Robert Morris0-10-0−6.3101.8108.1204
6Green Bay1-00-0−6.6103.3109.9211
7Milwaukee0-20-0−7.2100.7107.9218
8Purdue Fort Wayne0-10-0−7.8100.5108.3230
9Detroit Mercy0-00-0−8.0100.9109.0233
10IU Indianapolis1-00-0−13.599.5113.0297
11Cleveland State0-10-0−17.297.9115.1332
12Northern Illinois0-10-0−20.297.0117.2351