UTEP Miners
Next: vs Incarnate Word · Sun 8 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 76-69 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-20
Net rating−10.8Rank 267 of 365 · offence 254, defence 282
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-20 (6 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-14
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 0%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Northern Kentuckyrank 176 | Neutral | 42% | 67-69 | L 76-84 | Right |
| Sun 8 Nov7 PM ET | vs Incarnate Wordrank 300 | Home | 71% | 76-69 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov9 PM ET | vs New Mexico Staterank 180 | Home | 48% | 73-74 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: vs Incarnate WordA win: <1% · a loss: 0%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs New Mexico StateA win: <1% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto CassiaF · transfer from Ole Miss | 1 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Leif MoellerG · transfer from Evansville | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | −2.9 | −0.4 |
| Jace WhitingG · transfer from Weber St | 1 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Cam McDanielsG | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −2.8 | −0.3 |
| Youssouf TraoreF | 1 | 26.0 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −2.7 | −0.3 |
| Reese MillerG · transfer from William & Mary | 1 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −0.8 | +0.6 |
| Donovan CrissG | 1 | 21.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Isaiah WardF | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Reid CasonF · transfer from East Carolina | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr.G · transfer from William & Mary | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.1%rank 312 | 50.3%rank 144 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 16.9%rank 9 | 18.8%rank 115 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.5%rank 219 | 31.0%rank 94 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.3%rank 277 | 30.0%rank 363 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.4 expected (−0.4)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +8.4 points a game (they shot 19.1%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −7.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −9.1
- Last season's net rating
- −9.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 0%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.4
- Change since preseason
- −1.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 99.6 (rank 254)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 110.4 (rank 282)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.8 (rank 252)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −4.3 (rank 149)
Mountain West Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico | 1-0 | 0-0 | +15.4 | 112.6 | 97.2 | 46 |
| 2 | Nevada | 1-0 | 0-0 | +14.0 | 112.4 | 98.3 | 57 |
| 3 | Grand Canyon | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.9 | 111.2 | 100.2 | 70 |
| 4 | UNLV | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.7 | 109.7 | 104.0 | 99 |
| 5 | Wyoming | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.3 | 106.5 | 104.2 | 119 |
| 6 | San José State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.3 | 105.9 | 107.3 | 141 |
| 7 | Hawai'i | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.2 | 102.1 | 104.2 | 148 |
| 8 | UC Davis | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 100.1 | 106.4 | 202 |
| 9 | UTEP | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.8 | 99.6 | 110.4 | 267 |
| 10 | Air Force | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.6 | 98.5 | 112.2 | 298 |