Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Next: vs Bethesda · Fri 6 Nov, 11:59 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 12.1
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 17-14
Net rating−2.2Rank 148 of 365 · offence 194, defence 123
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 17-14 (13 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 12.1
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: vs UT ArlingtonA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: vs PortlandA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance TrujilloG · transfer from Utah Tech | 1 | 38.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −0.7 | +1.0 |
| Zack DavidsonF · transfer from N Arizona | 1 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.6 |
| Bol DengditC · transfer from UC San Diego | 1 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | +1.7 | +1.9 |
| Tiger CuffG | 1 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −1.2 | +0.4 |
| Tanner CuffG | 1 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | −1.1 | +0.4 |
| Jaden MatingouG | 1 | 23.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −1.0 | +0.4 |
| Marcus Adams Jr.F · transfer from Arizona St | 1 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | +0.5 | +1.0 |
| Kellen HamptonF · transfer from Pacific | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.6%rank 115 | 52.1%rank 328 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.5%rank 333 | 19.6%rank 32 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 29.3%rank 358 | 31.5%rank 134 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.6%rank 103 | 25.2%rank 233 | 25.1% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.5 expected (+0.5)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −5.5 points a game (they shot 43.8%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 1-0
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −2.8
- Last season's net rating
- +5.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 10%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.1
- Change since preseason
- +0.6
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 102.1 (rank 194)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 104.3 (rank 123)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.8 (rank 36)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +2.5 (rank 110)
Mountain West Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico | 1-0 | 0-0 | +15.4 | 112.6 | 97.2 | 46 |
| 2 | Nevada | 1-0 | 0-0 | +14.0 | 112.4 | 98.4 | 57 |
| 3 | Grand Canyon | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.9 | 111.2 | 100.2 | 70 |
| 4 | UNLV | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.6 | 109.7 | 104.1 | 100 |
| 5 | Wyoming | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.3 | 106.5 | 104.2 | 119 |
| 6 | San José State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.4 | 106.0 | 107.3 | 141 |
| 7 | Hawai'i | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.2 | 102.1 | 104.3 | 148 |
| 8 | UC Davis | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 100.1 | 106.4 | 202 |
| 9 | UTEP | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.8 | 99.7 | 110.4 | 267 |
| 10 | Air Force | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.6 | 98.6 | 112.2 | 298 |