Weber State Wildcats
Next: vs Utah Valley · Sat 7 Nov, 9 PM ETProjected 72-80 · Game page
Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.1
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-22
Net rating−12.0Rank 281 of 365 · offence 261, defence 304
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-22 (5 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.1
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field2%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Oregon Staterank 96 | Away | 17% | 62-74 | L 61-102 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov9 PM ET | vs Utah Valleyrank 112 | Home | 26% | 72-80 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov9 PM ET | at Utahrank 92 | Away | 5% | 65-84 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs Utah ValleyA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at UtahA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan WarlickF | 1 | 31.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.5 |
| Augustine EkweC · transfer from New Mexico St | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −2.2 | −0.1 |
| ArDarius GraysonG | 1 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | −3.0 | −0.5 |
| Gavin LoweG | 1 | 24.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Dyllan ThompsonF | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Chamberlain BurgessF | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Aaron PowellG | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Brock FelderF · transfer from Seattle U | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | +0.1 | +0.5 |
| Mason AbittanG | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.3 | 0.0 |
| Declan CutlerC | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | 0.0 |
| Sir Marius JonesG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Hunter HansenG | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Maximillian RussellG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 48.1%rank 353 | 50.5%rank 240 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 16.8%rank 4 | 18.2%rank 271 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.5%rank 224 | 31.1%rank 102 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 22.6%rank 346 | 28.0%rank 346 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.2 expected (−0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −3.7 points a game (they shot 37.5%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −5.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −7.8
- Last season's net rating
- −2.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 9%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.1
- Change since preseason
- −4.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 99.2 (rank 261)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 111.2 (rank 304)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.5 (rank 54)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +6.7 (rank 94)
Big Sky Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana State | 0-1 | 0-0 | +1.8 | 106.0 | 104.2 | 120 |
| 2 | Northern Colorado | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.9 | 104.2 | 107.1 | 155 |
| 3 | Eastern Washington | 0-1 | 0-0 | −4.2 | 104.5 | 108.7 | 174 |
| 4 | Montana | 1-1 | 0-0 | −5.0 | 103.2 | 108.1 | 184 |
| 5 | Portland State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.8 | 100.3 | 106.1 | 196 |
| 6 | Idaho | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.5 | 101.8 | 108.3 | 209 |
| 7 | Southern Utah | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.5 | 101.2 | 108.6 | 224 |
| 8 | Northern Arizona | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 101.8 | 112.4 | 260 |
| 9 | Idaho State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 100.7 | 111.3 | 263 |
| 10 | Weber State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.0 | 99.2 | 111.2 | 281 |
| 11 | Utah Tech | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.5 | 98.9 | 111.4 | 284 |