Eastern Washington Eagles

Men's · Big Sky Conference · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Next: at Oregon · Fri 6 Nov, 6 PM ET

E Washington5%95%Oregon

Projected 65-84 · Game page

Makes the tournament12%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.1

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 18-16

Net rating−4.3Rank 175 of 365 · offence 145, defence 235

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 18-16 (12 to 23 wins)
Projected conference record: 12-8
Wins or shares the conference title: 13%
Wins the conference tournament: 11%
Average seed if in the field: 14.1
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field12%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 16<1%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	at Stanfordrank 76	Away	9%	61-78	L 65-74	Right
Fri 6 Nov6 PM ET	at Oregonrank 46	Away	5%	65-84	—
Mon 9 Nov9:30 PM ET	at Oregon Staterank 94	Away	15%	69-82	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 12% · the next 7 days

Fri 6 Nov: at OregonA win: 11% · a loss: 12%−1 pts
Mon 9 Nov: at Oregon StateA win: 13% · a loss: 11%+1 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Alton Hamilton IVF	1	35.0	20.0	9.0	1.0	+1.4	+2.2
Cole SchererG	1	31.0	11.0	2.0	2.0	−2.0	0.0
Jamil MillerF	1	29.0	9.0	6.0	0.0	−1.8	+0.2
Emmett MarquardtF	1	27.0	2.0	4.0	0.0	−0.8	+0.6
Jalen GriffithG · transfer from W Michigan	1	23.0	9.0	4.0	3.0	−0.2	+0.8
Isak HomeliusG	1	15.0	7.0	0.0	0.0	−1.4	+0.2
Malachi RichmondG	1	12.0	5.0	0.0	0.0	−1.3	+0.2
Shaumba NgoyiF	1	9.0	0.0	2.0	1.0	−2.8	−0.1
Lance Horntvedt Jr.F	1	8.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−1.2	+0.1
Zach TrezvantC	1	8.0	2.0	2.0	0.0	−1.2	+0.1
Maddox MonsonG	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−2.1	0.0
Ayden HamiltonF	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−1.0	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	50.2%rank 140	50.9%rank 277	50.1%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin	18.4%rank 147	18.9%rank 97	18.5%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin	33.5%rank 39	30.2%rank 45	31.7%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin	26.4%rank 91	25.1%rank 129	25.6%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
Opponents' three-point shooting: +4.1 points a game (they shot 25.0%, league 31.9%)
Opponents' free throws: −1.3 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −5.3
Last season's net rating: −1.3
Last season's minutes returning: 26%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −0.9
Change since preseason: +0.9

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 104.3 (rank 145)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 108.6 (rank 235)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 70.9 (rank 216)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: +10.2 (rank 67)

Big Sky Conference by rating

11 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Montana State	0-1	0-0	+1.7	105.8	104.1	120
2	Northern Colorado	1-0	0-0	−2.9	104.0	107.0	156
3	Eastern Washington	0-1	0-0	−4.3	104.3	108.6	175
4	Montana	1-1	0-0	−5.1	103.0	108.0	185
5	Portland State	1-0	0-0	−5.8	100.1	106.0	196
6	Idaho	1-0	0-0	−6.5	101.7	108.2	211
7	Southern Utah	1-0	0-0	−7.5	101.0	108.5	223
8	Northern Arizona	0-1	0-0	−10.7	101.6	112.3	260
9	Idaho State	0-1	0-0	−10.8	100.5	111.2	265
10	Weber State	0-1	0-0	−12.1	99.0	111.2	282
11	Utah Tech	1-1	0-0	−12.6	98.7	111.3	284