Western Carolina Catamounts
Next: at UNC Asheville · Sat 7 Nov, 5:30 PM ETProjected 73-77 · Game page
Makes the tournament8%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 17-16
Net rating−8.6Rank 240 of 365 · offence 241, defence 244
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 17-16 (12 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 11-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 8%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 8%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field8%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at North Carolinarank 44 | Away | 1% | 55-83 | L 72-80 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov5:30 PM ET | at UNC Ashevillerank 256 | Away | 39% | 73-77 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET | vs Virginia Lynchburgnot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at UNC AshevilleA win: 7% · a loss: 8%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon PruntyG · transfer from Charleston | 1 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | −2.8 | −0.4 |
| Malachi BrownG · transfer from Georgia St | 1 | 31.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −2.6 | −0.3 |
| Isaiah ManningG · transfer from Sam Houston | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | −0.1 | +0.9 |
| Jacob ZhuG | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Jaeden RobertsG · transfer from Hofstra | 1 | 23.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | +0.3 | +1.0 |
| Tayeshaun SmithF | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | −0.6 |
| Fola SodipoF | 1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Samuel DadaF | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | +0.8 | +0.5 |
| Travelle BrysonG · transfer from Howard | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.3 | +0.3 |
| Donovan RaymondF · transfer from Old Dominion | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −2.8 | −0.1 |
| Antonio McKoyG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.8 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.9%rank 252 | 49.5%rank 75 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 17.2%rank 13 | 18.0%rank 295 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.8%rank 66 | 29.2%rank 7 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 27.8%rank 28 | 27.9%rank 342 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +2.1 points a game (they shot 30.0%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −11.6
- Last season's net rating
- −5.6
- Last season's minutes returning
- 15%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.9
- Change since preseason
- +3.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 100.4 (rank 241)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 109.0 (rank 244)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.4 (rank 185)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +15.6 (rank 43)
Southern Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Furman | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.8 | 103.5 | 107.3 | 168 |
| 2 | East Tennessee State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.0 | 103.1 | 108.1 | 186 |
| 3 | Samford | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.5 | 102.9 | 108.4 | 191 |
| 4 | Wofford | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.7 | 102.9 | 109.6 | 212 |
| 5 | Mercer | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.8 | 101.2 | 109.0 | 228 |
| 6 | Chattanooga | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.8 | 102.2 | 110.0 | 228 |
| 7 | Western Carolina | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.6 | 100.4 | 109.0 | 240 |
| 8 | UNC Greensboro | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.7 | 98.9 | 110.6 | 279 |
| 9 | Tennessee Tech | 1-1 | 0-0 | −11.8 | 101.7 | 113.5 | 280 |
| 10 | VMI | 1-0 | 0-0 | −17.9 | 96.2 | 114.1 | 336 |
| 11 | The Citadel | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.4 | 92.9 | 116.3 | 361 |