George Washington Revolutionaries

Women's · Atlantic 10 Conference · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: at West Virginia · Thu 5 Nov, 7 PM ET

G Washington5%96%West Virginia

Projected 54-78 · Game page

Makes the tournament4%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 11.7

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 18-16

Net rating+0.6Rank 136 of 363 · offence 134, defence 141

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 18-16 (11 to 25 wins)
Projected conference record: 8-10
Wins or shares the conference title: 2%
Wins the conference tournament: 2%
Average seed if in the field: 11.7
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field4%
Round of 321%
Sweet 16<1%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result
Mon 2 Nov	vs District of Columbianot Division I	Home	—	—	W 84-23
Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET	at West Virginiarank 29	Away	5%	54-78	—
Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET	vs Georgetownrank 91	Home	47%	63-64	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 4% · the next 7 days

Thu 5 Nov: at West VirginiaA win: 9% · a loss: 4%+5 pts
Wed 11 Nov: vs GeorgetownA win: 4% · a loss: 4%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Alicia NewellG · transfer from Richmond	1	25.0	13.0	5.0	1.0	+4.0	+2.7
Amor HarrisG · transfer from Longwood	1	20.0	7.0	5.0	0.0	−1.7	+0.2
Ayla HabbalG	1	20.0	0.0	2.0	3.0	−2.0	0.0
Anne BairG · transfer from Colgate	1	19.0	5.0	3.0	6.0	−3.4	−0.4
Kamari SimsF	1	16.0	4.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	+0.6
Cam RustF · transfer from Seton Hall	1	16.0	2.0	5.0	1.0	+0.6	+0.8
Jaeda WilsonG	1	16.0	16.0	2.0	1.0	−0.2	+0.6
Sara LewisF	1	15.0	12.0	4.0	2.0	+2.0	+1.1
Tanah BeckerG	1	15.0	2.0	5.0	0.0	+0.3	+0.6
Gabby ReynoldsG	1	14.0	12.0	2.0	0.0	+2.6	+1.2
N'na KonateF · transfer from Campbell	1	13.0	5.0	6.0	0.0	+0.5	+0.6
Camryn GunterF	1	11.0	6.0	5.0	0.0	−1.8	+0.1

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.7%rank 136	44.7%rank 131	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.8%rank 142	23.8%rank 125	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	33.5%rank 136	33.5%rank 134	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.4%rank 127	20.4%rank 141	20.4%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: +0.6
Last season's net rating: −0.1
Last season's minutes returning: 64%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: +1.8
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 91.5 (rank 134)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 90.9 (rank 141)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 71.0 (rank 352)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Atlantic 10 Conference by rating

14 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Saint Joseph's	0-0	0-0	+15.2	100.4	85.2	59
2	Richmond	1-0	0-0	+13.8	101.8	88.0	63
3	Davidson	0-1	0-0	+13.3	98.9	85.6	66
4	Rhode Island	0-1	0-0	+9.6	96.1	86.4	79
5	George Mason	1-0	0-0	+8.4	96.8	88.4	86
6	George Washington	1-0	0-0	+0.6	91.5	90.9	136
7	Dayton	0-0	0-0	−0.6	91.5	92.1	146
8	VCU	1-0	0-0	−2.2	86.6	88.8	166
9	La Salle	0-1	0-0	−2.7	89.0	91.7	168
10	Fordham	1-0	0-0	−3.0	86.3	89.2	174
11	Saint Louis	0-1	0-0	−6.2	89.3	95.5	198
12	St. Bonaventure	1-0	0-0	−7.2	86.6	93.8	206
13	Duquesne	0-1	0-0	−8.7	87.0	95.7	219
14	Loyola Chicago	1-0	0-0	−10.5	86.1	96.6	236