Men's rooting guide
What each game this week does to every team's chances, from 20,000 simulated seasons.
Your team's guide
Every team page has its own guide: its games this week, what a win or a loss does to its chances, and the other games to root in.
The games that matter most this week
| Date | Game | At stake | Biggest swings (if the home team wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 8 Nov | Arkansas vs VirginiaVirginia wins 48% | 20 | Arkansas −10; Virginia +10 |
| Mon 9 Nov | Minnesota at CincinnatiCincinnati wins 91% | 17 | Minnesota −13; Cincinnati +4 |
| Fri 6 Nov | Saint Louis vs MissouriMissouri wins 68% | 17 | Saint Louis −11; Missouri +7 |
| Thu 12 Nov | Oklahoma State at Texas A&MTexas A&M wins 69% | 17 | Oklahoma St −9; Texas A&M +8 |
| Mon 9 Nov | Syracuse vs IndianaIndiana wins 66% | 16 | Syracuse −8; Indiana +8 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Virginia Tech vs IowaIowa wins 81% | 16 | Virginia Tech −8; Iowa +7 |
| Sat 7 Nov | Providence vs NebraskaNebraska wins 82% | 14 | Providence −8; Nebraska +5 |
| Thu 5 Nov | Wake Forest at VanderbiltVanderbilt wins 95% | 13 | Wake Forest −9; Vanderbilt +5 |
| Sat 7 Nov | San Diego State vs ColoradoColorado wins 67% | 13 | Colorado +9; San Diego St −5 |
| Sun 8 Nov | USC vs Wichita StateWichita St wins 33% | 13 | USC −7; Wichita St +6 |
| Sat 7 Nov | Maryland at GeorgetownGeorgetown wins 51% | 13 | Maryland −9; Georgetown +4 |
| Sun 8 Nov | Saint Mary's vs NevadaNevada wins 49% | 13 | Nevada +7; Saint Mary's −5 |
| Sat 7 Nov | VCU at MemphisMemphis wins 53% | 11 | VCU −7; Memphis +4 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Florida at Florida StateFlorida St wins 14% | 11 | Florida St +10; Florida 0 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Detroit Mercy at XavierXavier wins 99% | 9 | Xavier +7; Detroit Mercy −2 |
| Wed 11 Nov | Nevada at UC Santa BarbaraSanta Barbara wins 26% | 9 | Nevada −8; Santa Barbara +1 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Memphis at VanderbiltVanderbilt wins 94% | 9 | Memphis −7; Vanderbilt +2 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Kansas vs KentuckyKentucky wins 23% | 9 | Kentucky +8; Kansas −1 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Yale at BaylorBaylor wins 90% | 9 | Yale −5; Baylor +4 |
| Wed 11 Nov | Marquette at MichiganMichigan wins 84% | 9 | Marquette −6; Michigan +3 |
| Mon 9 Nov | App State at AuburnAuburn wins 99% | 8 | Auburn +6; App State −3 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Wyoming at North CarolinaNorth Carolina wins 92% | 8 | Wyoming −4; North Carolina +4 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Creighton at Kansas StateKansas St wins 30% | 8 | Creighton −8; Kansas St 0 |
| Wed 11 Nov | USC at CaliforniaCalifornia wins 33% | 8 | USC −7; California +1 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Fairfield at WisconsinWisconsin wins 99% | 8 | Wisconsin +6; Fairfield +2 |
Each effect isolates the result itself: the simulation compares seasons by the luck of that one game, so an upset does not also count as evidence that the loser was weak all along.