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Updated Thu 5 Nov, 9:50 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

Illinois State at Dayton

Thursday 5 November, 7:00 PM ET at UD Arena · Illinois St rank 116 · 2-0, Dayton rank 153 · 0-1

Illinois St9187Dayton

Before tip-off

Win probability

Play by play

    Team stats

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    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    In brief

    Final: Illinois State 91, Dayton 87. Before tip-off the model gave Illinois State a 41% chance to win — an upset, with a projected margin of 3.3 points for Dayton.