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Liberty 57, High Point 72

Final. Sunday, November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET at Rock Hill Sports & Event Center. Liberty our rank 136 · 1-1; High Point our rank 67 · 4-0.

Who won Liberty vs High Point?

Final: High Point 72, Liberty 57. Before tip-off the model gave High Point a 72% chance to win, with a projected margin of 7.2 points for High Point.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winHigh Point 72%Liberty 28%
Projected score72–79Liberty, then High Point
Margin7.2High Point · no line posted
Total150.5no line posted
First half33–37High Point ahead 64%
Liberty by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30High Point by 40Model: High Point by 7.2Liberty by 20Evenby 20High Point by 40Model: High Point by 7.2

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Cam'Ron Fletcher: Liberty 36%High Point 64%

The white mark is the call with him: High Point 72%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsHigh Point without himChangeProjected score
High Point
Cam'Ron Fletcher2.964%−873–77
Jason Rivera-Torres2.066%−673–78
CJ Brown1.967%−573–78
Isaac Garrett1.767%−573–78
Liberty
Cooper Campbell1.676%+471–80
Zander Carter0.975%+371–79
Cobi Campbell0.774%+271–79
Eli Sancomb0.774%+271–79

Change is in High Point's win chance, in points. Scores read Liberty, then High Point. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Liberty

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    High Point

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    LibertyHigh Point
    Points scored per 100 possessions105.3 155th111.3 82nd
    Points allowed per 100106.4 137th99.3 48th
    Possessions a game69.0 333rd71.5 103rd
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)49.2% 279th51.1% 138th
    Opponents' shooting51.2% 238th49.0% 68th
    Turnovers, share of possessions17.4% 107th19.4% 312th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses29.9% 287th32.0% 160th
    Free throws per shot0.25 247th0.27 137th

    The widest gap: High Point's defense (48th) against Liberty's offense (155th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Liberty 33, High Point 37
    First-half margin
    High Point by 4.0
    First-half points, both teams
    70.6
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Players to know

    Points a game each adds, by our player ratings

    Liberty

    1. Cooper CampbellG21.0 pts, 3.0 reb, 6.0 ast in 26 min+1.6
    2. Zander CarterG14.0 pts, 7.0 reb, 6.0 ast in 27 min+0.9
    3. Cobi CampbellG18.0 pts, 0.0 reb, 3.0 ast in 21 min+0.7
    4. Eli SancombG14.0 pts, 9.0 reb, 5.0 ast in 26 min+0.7

    High Point

    1. Cam'Ron FletcherF14.3 pts, 8.3 reb, 0.7 ast in 24 minLast 3: 9, 13, 21 points+2.9
    2. Jason Rivera-TorresG12.3 pts, 4.0 reb, 2.0 ast in 20 minLast 3: 19, 13, 5 points+2.0
    3. CJ BrownG15.0 pts, 2.0 reb, 2.7 ast in 22 minLast 3: 15, 17, 13 points+1.9
    4. Isaac GarrettF6.0 pts, 6.0 reb, 0.3 ast in 22 minLast 3: 12, 6, 0 points+1.7

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