High Point at Saint Louis
Sunday, November 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at Chaifetz Arena. High Point our rank 67 · 4-0; Saint Louis our rank 35 · 3-0.
Who will win High Point vs Saint Louis?
The model gives Saint Louis a 80% chance to beat High Point, with a projected score of Saint Louis 84, High Point 75.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis | |||||
| GreenG · 28 min | 14.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15+ 46% | |
| McCottryG · 23 min | 13.0 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 15+ 36% | |
| SharmaF · 26 min | 11.8 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 10+ 61% | |
| JonesG · 28 min | 11.7 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 10+ 60% | |
| High Point | |||||
| FletcherF · 24 min | 12.1 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 10+ 63% | |
| BrownG · 22 min | 11.0 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 10+ 55% | |
| Rivera-TorresG · 20 min | 10.4 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 10+ 51% | |
| GarrettF · 23 min | 7.9 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 10+ 33% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Trey Green: High Point 29%Saint Louis 71%
The white mark is the call with him: Saint Louis 80%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Saint Louis without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis | ||||
| Trey Green | 3.3 | 71% | −9 | 76–82 |
| Kellen Thames | 3.2 | 71% | −9 | 76–82 |
| Amari McCottry | 3.1 | 71% | −9 | 76–83 |
| Quentin Jones | 2.9 | 72% | −8 | 76–83 |
| High Point | ||||
| Cam'Ron Fletcher | 2.9 | 86% | +6 | 73–85 |
| Jason Rivera-Torres | 2.0 | 85% | +5 | 74–85 |
| CJ Brown | 1.9 | 84% | +4 | 74–85 |
| Isaac Garrett | 1.7 | 84% | +4 | 74–85 |
Change is in Saint Louis's win chance, in points. Scores read High Point, then Saint Louis. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
High Point 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 88-59vs Southern UtahCovered −22.5 · Under 158.5
- Nov 7W 83-71vs Washington StDidn't cover −13.5 · Under 156.5
- Nov 4W 63-49vs MD Eastern
- Nov 1W 72-57vs Liberty
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 76.5 and allowing 59.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
Saint Louis 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 125-63vs N KentuckyCovered −23.5 · Over 168.5
- Nov 6W 90-84vs MissouriCovered +2.5 · Over 161.5
- Nov 2W 92-67vs Lehigh
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 102.3 and allowing 71.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| High Point | Saint Louis | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 111.3 82nd | 118.0 24th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 99.3 48th | 99.2 47th |
| Possessions a game | 71.5 103rd | 73.1 18th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.1% 138th | 56.7% 1st |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.0% 68th | 47.0% 17th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.4% 312th | 16.4% 22nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.0% 160th | 28.9% 327th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 137th | 0.26 194th |
The widest gap: Saint Louis's defense (47th) against High Point's offense (82nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- High Point 35, Saint Louis 40
- First-half margin
- Saint Louis by 5.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 74.5
- Projected second half
- High Point 40, Saint Louis 44
- Second-half points, both teams
- 84.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- High Point, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 33.7 scored, 27.0 allowed
- Saint Louis, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 51.0 scored, 31.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
High Point
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam'Ron FletcherF | 24 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 7+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Isaac GarrettF | 23 | 7.9 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| CJ BrownG | 22 | 11.0 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 42% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Braden HausenF | 22 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Curtis Williams Jr.G | 22 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Frankquon ShermanF | 20 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Jason Rivera-TorresG | 20 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 2+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Conrad MartinezG | 16 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
Saint Louis
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey GreenG | 28 | 14.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 3+ ast 44% · 3+ threes 48% | |||||
| Quentin JonesG | 28 | 11.7 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 41% · 5+ ast 44% | |||||
| Ishan SharmaF | 26 | 11.8 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 2+ ast 48% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Amari McCottryG | 23 | 13.0 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 55% | |||||
| Alon MichaeliF | 19 | 8.7 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 6+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Kellen ThamesG | 17 | 10.9 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Jax KerrF | 11 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Cam HutsonG | 10 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 2+ reb 32% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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