Probable Stats
Menu

Lehigh 67, Saint Louis 92

Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Chaifetz Arena. Lehigh our rank 290 · 1-2; Saint Louis our rank 35 · 3-0.

Who won Lehigh vs Saint Louis?

Final: Saint Louis 92, Lehigh 67. Before tip-off the model gave Saint Louis a 97% chance to win, with a projected margin of 22.5 points for Saint Louis. Quentin Jones scored 15 for Saint Louis; Caleb Thomas had 12 for Lehigh.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winSaint Louis 97%Lehigh 3%
Projected score58–81Lehigh, then Saint Louis
Margin22.5Saint Louis · no line posted
Total139.3no line posted
First half26–39Saint Louis ahead 87%
Lehigh by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30by 40Saint Louis by 50Model: Saint Louis by 22.5Lehigh by 10by 10by 30Saint Louis by 50Model: Saint Louis by 22.5

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Trey Green: Lehigh 6%Saint Louis 94%

The white mark is the call with him: Saint Louis 97%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsSaint Louis without himChangeProjected score
Saint Louis
Trey Green3.394%−360–79
Kellen Thames3.294%−360–79
Amari McCottry3.194%−360–79
Quentin Jones2.995%−260–79
Lehigh
Hank Alvey1.497%058–82

Change is in Saint Louis's win chance, in points. Scores read Lehigh, then Saint Louis. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Lehigh

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Saint Louis

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    LehighSaint Louis
    Points scored per 100 possessions97.3 314th118.0 24th
    Points allowed per 100110.1 228th99.2 47th
    Possessions a game70.2 245th73.1 18th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.0% 354th56.7% 1st
    Opponents' shooting50.8% 204th47.0% 17th
    Turnovers, share of possessions18.1% 190th16.4% 22nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses26.5% 362nd28.9% 327th
    Free throws per shot0.28 82nd0.26 194th

    The widest gap: Saint Louis's defense (47th) against Lehigh's offense (314th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Saint Louis led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 4.6 points and the total by 13.6.

    At halftime
    Lehigh 31, Saint Louis 48
    Projected halftime score
    Lehigh 26, Saint Louis 39
    First-half margin
    Saint Louis by 12.4
    First-half points, both teams
    65.4
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    Lehigh

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Hank AlveyC2510540
    Joshua IngramG2511512
    Edouard BenoitF219310
    Caleb ThomasG2112000
    Chris TshibolaG203541
    Peter KramerG155100
    Andrew UrosevicG148012
    Alfredo AddesaF130210
    Jalen VazquezG122110

    Saint Louis

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Quentin JonesG2715131
    Trey GreenG2410011
    Ishan SharmaF215311
    Kellen ThamesG2115620
    Amari McCottryG1810620
    Alon MichaeliF1711621
    Jax KerrF168822
    Luke LaczkowskiG1510012
    Cam HutsonG142100

    More games on Mon, Nov 2

    All games
    1. Final67-77Miami vs Florida, men's: game page
    2. Final72-78Purdue vs Gonzaga, men's: game page
    3. Final83-94Ohio State vs BYU, men's: game page
    4. Final76-61Davidson at Washington St, men's: game page
    5. Final75-84Arizona vs UCLA, men's: game page
    6. Final73-74Seattle U at Hawai'i, men's: game page