Lehigh 67, Saint Louis 92
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Chaifetz Arena. Lehigh our rank 290 · 1-2; Saint Louis our rank 35 · 3-0.
Who won Lehigh vs Saint Louis?
Final: Saint Louis 92, Lehigh 67. Before tip-off the model gave Saint Louis a 97% chance to win, with a projected margin of 22.5 points for Saint Louis. Quentin Jones scored 15 for Saint Louis; Caleb Thomas had 12 for Lehigh.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Trey Green: Lehigh 6%Saint Louis 94%
The white mark is the call with him: Saint Louis 97%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Saint Louis without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Green | 3.3 | 94% | −3 | 60–79 |
| Kellen Thames | 3.2 | 94% | −3 | 60–79 |
| Amari McCottry | 3.1 | 94% | −3 | 60–79 |
| Quentin Jones | 2.9 | 95% | −2 | 60–79 |
| Hank Alvey | 1.4 | 97% | 0 | 58–82 |
Change is in Saint Louis's win chance, in points. Scores read Lehigh, then Saint Louis. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Lehigh
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Saint Louis
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lehigh | Saint Louis | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.3 314th | 118.0 24th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.1 228th | 99.2 47th |
| Possessions a game | 70.2 245th | 73.1 18th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.0% 354th | 56.7% 1st |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.8% 204th | 47.0% 17th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.1% 190th | 16.4% 22nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 26.5% 362nd | 28.9% 327th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 82nd | 0.26 194th |
The widest gap: Saint Louis's defense (47th) against Lehigh's offense (314th), of 365 teams.
First half
Saint Louis led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 4.6 points and the total by 13.6.
- At halftime
- Lehigh 31, Saint Louis 48
- Projected halftime score
- Lehigh 26, Saint Louis 39
- First-half margin
- Saint Louis by 12.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Lehigh
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank AlveyC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Joshua IngramG | 25 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Edouard BenoitF | 21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Caleb ThomasG | 21 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris TshibolaG | 20 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Peter KramerG | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew UrosevicG | 14 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Alfredo AddesaF | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jalen VazquezG | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Saint Louis
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin JonesG | 27 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Trey GreenG | 24 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ishan SharmaF | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Kellen ThamesG | 21 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Amari McCottryG | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Alon MichaeliF | 17 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Jax KerrF | 16 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
| Luke LaczkowskiG | 15 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Cam HutsonG | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |