Davidson 76, Washington St 61
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Beasley Coliseum. Davidson our rank 88 · 3-0; Washington St our rank 172 · 0-3.
Who won Davidson vs Washington St?
Final: Davidson 76, Washington State 61. Before tip-off the model gave Davidson a 58% chance to win, with a projected margin of 2.4 points for Davidson. Sam Brown scored 22 for Davidson; Jaylen Harrell had 13 for Washington St.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Josh Scovens: Davidson 48%Washington St 52%
The white mark is the call with him: Davidson 58%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Davidson without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davidson | ||||
| Josh Scovens | 2.9 | 48% | −10 | 67–67 |
| Nick Janowski | 2.7 | 49% | −9 | 67–67 |
| Ian Platteeuw | 2.1 | 51% | −7 | 67–67 |
| Sam Brown | 1.3 | 54% | −4 | 68–67 |
| Washington St | ||||
| Ronnie Harrison | 1.0 | 61% | +3 | 69–65 |
| Sebastian Akins | 0.9 | 61% | +3 | 69–65 |
| Jaylen Harrell | 0.8 | 60% | +2 | 69–66 |
| Tyler Kropp | 0.7 | 60% | +2 | 69–66 |
Change is in Davidson's win chance, in points. Scores read Davidson, then Washington St. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Davidson
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Washington St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Davidson | Washington St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.2 110th | 106.4 137th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 100.1 58th | 111.0 260th |
| Possessions a game | 68.9 337th | 70.0 266th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.1% 77th | 50.8% 159th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.8% 28th | 54.7% 358th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.2% 85th | 18.6% 243rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.6% 259th | 34.6% 31st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 364th | 0.23 310th |
The widest gap: Davidson's offense (110th) against Washington St's defense (260th), of 365 teams.
First half
Davidson led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 10.7 points and the total by 7.0.
- At halftime
- Davidson 34, Washington St 22
- Projected halftime score
- Davidson 32, Washington St 31
- First-half margin
- Davidson by 1.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Davidson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian PlatteeuwC | 34 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 1 |
| Nick JanowskiG | 34 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Josh ScovensF | 33 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Sam BrownG | 33 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| Jackson KeithF | 21 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Nick CovalG | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Eetu HeinonenG | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| JaQualon RobertsF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| John Carter Jr.G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Washington St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamari PhillipsG | 26 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaylen HarrellG | 26 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Casey JonesG | 23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Dominik RobinsonF | 23 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Ladji DembeleF | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sebastian AkinsG | 22 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Lazerek HoustonG | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler KroppF | 17 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| RJ JonesG | 15 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |