Who won Seattle U vs Hawai'i?
Final: Hawai'i 74, Seattle U 73. Before tip-off the model gave Hawai'i a 46% chance to win — an upset, with a projected margin of 1.2 points for Seattle U. Jaden Matingou scored 20 for Hawai'i; Will Heimbrodt had 20 for Seattle U.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Will Heimbrodt: Seattle U 47%Hawai'i 53%
The white mark is the call with him: Seattle U 54%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Seattle U without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seattle U | ||||
| Will Heimbrodt | 2.1 | 47% | −7 | 66–67 |
| Halvine Dzellat | 1.1 | 50% | −4 | 67–67 |
| Maleek Arington | 0.8 | 52% | −2 | 67–67 |
| Junseok Yeo | 0.7 | 52% | −2 | 67–67 |
 Hawai'i | ||||
| Bol Dengdit | 1.5 | 61% | +7 | 68–65 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 0.8 | 58% | +4 | 68–66 |
| Tanner Cuff | 0.8 | 58% | +4 | 68–66 |
| Chance Trujillo | 0.6 | 57% | +3 | 68–66 |
Change is in Seattle U's win chance, in points. Scores read Seattle U, then Hawai'i. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…
Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Seattle U
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Hawai'i
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Seattle U | Hawai'i | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.3 214th | 102.3 213th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.5 101st | 105.0 115th |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 157th | 71.8 79th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.7% 240th | 46.8% 355th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.1% 293rd | 52.5% 312th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.3% 307th | 17.1% 74th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.1% 275th | 30.1% 278th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 145th | 0.23 315th |
The widest gap: Seattle U's defense (101st) against Hawai'i's offense (213th), of 365 teams.
First half
Hawai'i led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 8.7 points and the total by 23.3.
- At halftime
- Seattle U 39, Hawai'i 47
- Projected halftime score
- Seattle U 32, Hawai'i 31
- First-half margin
- Seattle U by 0.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Seattle U
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HeimbrodtF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Mason WilliamsG | 32 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Halvine DzellatC | 28 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler BostonG | 27 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Junseok YeoF | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Maleek AringtonG | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Ray AdamsF | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Ladji CoulibalyC | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Amare LaraneG | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hawai'i
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance TrujilloG | 38 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Zack DavidsonF | 29 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Bol DengditC | 28 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tiger CuffG | 27 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaden MatingouG | 23 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Tanner CuffG | 23 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Marcus Adams Jr.F | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Kellen HamptonF | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |