Washington St v Hawai'i
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Angel of the Winds Arena. Washington St our rank 172 · 0-3; Hawai'i our rank 149 · 3-1.
Who will win Washington St vs Hawai'i?
The model gives Hawai'i a 52% chance to beat Washington State, with a projected score of Hawai'i 75, Washington St 75.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i | |||||
| DavidsonF · 29 min | 17.3 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 15+ 62% | |
| TrujilloG · 34 min | 13.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 15+ 41% | |
| DengditC · 31 min | 13.3 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 15+ 38% | |
| MatingouG · 24 min | 10.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 10+ 54% | |
| Washington St | |||||
| HoustonG · 27 min | 14.0 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 15+ 43% | |
| HarrellG · 28 min | 13.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 15+ 37% | |
| HarrisonF · 24 min | 10.9 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 10+ 54% | |
| AkinsG · 22 min | 7.6 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 5+ 69% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Bol Dengdit: Washington St 54%Hawai'i 46%
The white mark is the call with him: Hawai'i 52%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Hawai'i without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i | ||||
| Bol Dengdit | 1.5 | 46% | −6 | 76–75 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 0.8 | 49% | −3 | 75–75 |
| Tanner Cuff | 0.8 | 49% | −3 | 75–75 |
| Chance Trujillo | 0.6 | 50% | −2 | 75–75 |
| Washington St | ||||
| Ronnie Harrison | 1.0 | 56% | +4 | 74–76 |
| Sebastian Akins | 0.9 | 56% | +4 | 74–76 |
| Jaylen Harrell | 0.8 | 55% | +3 | 75–76 |
| Tyler Kropp | 0.7 | 55% | +3 | 75–76 |
Change is in Hawai'i's win chance, in points. Scores read Washington St, then Hawai'i. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Washington St 0-3LLL
- Nov 10L 71-72at DuquesneCovered +3.5 · Under 145.5
- Nov 7L 71-83at High PointCovered +13.5 · Under 156.5
- Nov 2L 61-76vs Davidson
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 67.7 and allowing 77.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Washington St | Hawai'i | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 106.4 137th | 102.3 213th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.0 260th | 105.0 115th |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 71.8 79th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.8% 159th | 46.8% 355th |
| Opponents' shooting | 54.7% 358th | 52.5% 312th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.6% 243rd | 17.1% 74th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.6% 31st | 30.1% 278th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 310th | 0.23 315th |
The widest gap: Hawai'i's offense (213th) against Washington St's defense (260th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Washington St 35, Hawai'i 35
- First-half margin
- Hawai'i by 0.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.6
- Projected second half
- Washington St 40, Hawai'i 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Washington St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 30.7 scored, 32.0 allowed
- Hawai'i, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 42.8 scored, 31.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Washington St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen HarrellG | 28 | 13.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Lazerek HoustonG | 27 | 14.0 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Ronnie HarrisonF | 24 | 10.9 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Sebastian AkinsG | 22 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Ladji DembeleF | 22 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Jamari PhillipsG | 19 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 41% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Casey JonesG | 18 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Tyler KroppF | 17 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Hawai'i
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance TrujilloG | 34 | 13.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 58% · 3+ threes 46% | |||||
| Bol DengditC | 31 | 13.3 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Zack DavidsonF | 29 | 17.3 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Tanner CuffG | 28 | 10.6 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 6+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Tiger CuffG | 25 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Jaden MatingouG | 24 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 50% to play · 10+ pts 54% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Kellen HamptonF | 19 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Marcus Adams Jr.F | 17 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
Missed the last game: Jaden Matingou (25 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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