Boston College at Harvard
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Lavietes Pavilion. Boston College our rank 84 · 3-0; Harvard our rank 138 · 2-1.
Who will win Boston College vs Harvard?
The model gives Boston College a 66% chance to beat Harvard, with a projected score of Boston College 71, Harvard 66.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College | |||||
| WilliamsG · 36 min | 19.8 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 20+ 48% | |
| SmrekarG · 30 min | 11.7 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 10+ 60% | |
| HungerF · 26 min | 10.8 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 10+ 54% | |
| ZeiglerG · 30 min | 9.1 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 10+ 41% | |
| Harvard | |||||
| Batties IIF · 35 min | 13.8 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 15+ 42% | |
| BarbourG · 32 min | 11.0 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 10+ 55% | |
| HintonG · 31 min | 10.8 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 10+ 54% | |
| SingletonG · 25 min | 8.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 10+ 35% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Money Williams: Boston College 54%Harvard 46%
The white mark is the call with him: Boston College 66%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Boston College without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College | ||||
| Money Williams | 3.5 | 54% | −12 | 69–68 |
| Luke Hunger | 2.1 | 59% | −7 | 70–67 |
| Brandon Benjamin | 1.9 | 60% | −6 | 70–67 |
| Armoni Zeigler | 1.7 | 60% | −6 | 70–67 |
| Harvard | ||||
| Thomas Batties II | 1.7 | 71% | +5 | 72–66 |
| Robert Hinton | 1.6 | 70% | +4 | 72–66 |
| Tey Barbour | 1.3 | 70% | +4 | 72–66 |
Change is in Boston College's win chance, in points. Scores read Boston College, then Harvard. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Boston College 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 82-54vs MD EasternCovered −26.5 · Over 128.5
- Nov 6W 71-55vs UMassCovered −6.5 · Under 144.5
- Nov 3W 76-50vs Wagner
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 76.3 and allowing 53.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Harvard 2-1WWL
- Nov 10L 70-74at NortheasternDidn't cover −1.5 · Over 143.5
- Nov 8W 63-47at Chicago
- Nov 2W 73-45vs MIT
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 68.7 and allowing 55.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Boston College | Harvard | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.1 73rd | 101.7 232nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.8 94th | 103.2 99th |
| Possessions a game | 68.7 348th | 68.5 354th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.8% 235th | 50.0% 221st |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.5% 44th | 48.8% 62nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.6% 127th | 17.1% 72nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 36.1% 7th | 30.1% 276th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.31 21st | 0.25 235th |
The widest gap: Boston College's defense (94th) against Harvard's offense (232nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Boston College 34, Harvard 31
- First-half margin
- Boston College by 2.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.5
- Projected second half
- Boston College 38, Harvard 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 73.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Boston College, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 39.3 scored, 27.7 allowed
- Harvard, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 31.0 scored, 23.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Boston College
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money WilliamsG | 36 | 19.8 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| 20+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 54% · 4+ ast 59% | |||||
| Zak SmrekarG | 30 | 11.7 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Ernest SheltonG | 30 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Armoni ZeiglerG | 30 | 9.1 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Luke HungerF | 26 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Colby DugganF | 21 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Brandon BenjaminF | 18 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
Harvard
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Batties IIF | 35 | 13.8 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 40% | |||||
| Tey BarbourG | 32 | 11.0 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Ben EisendrathG | 32 | 5.9 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ ast 45% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Robert HintonG | 31 | 10.8 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Jason SingletonG | 25 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 2+ ast 52% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Julian AdigunC | 16 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Luca Ace-NasteskiF | 13 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 41% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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