Who will win Furman vs Radford?
The model gives Furman a 61% chance to beat Radford, with a projected score of Furman 76, Radford 73.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Furman | |||||
| HouseG · 28 min | 16.1 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 15+ 55% | |
| JohnstonF · 27 min | 11.7 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 10+ 60% | |
| FranklinG · 25 min | 11.4 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 10+ 58% | |
| KellF · 24 min | 11.3 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 10+ 57% | |
 Radford | |||||
| ErichsenF · 24 min | 9.4 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 10+ 43% | |
| RobinsonG · 28 min | 8.5 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 10+ 37% | |
| GrossG · 28 min | 7.7 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 10+ 31% | |
| GrujicicG · 22 min | 5.9 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 5+ 55% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Charles Johnston: Furman 55%Radford 45%
The white mark is the call with him: Furman 61%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Furman without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furman | ||||
| Charles Johnston | 1.7 | 55% | −6 | 75–74 |
| Marcus Kell | 1.0 | 58% | −3 | 76–73 |
| Jordan Butler | 0.9 | 58% | −3 | 76–73 |
| Tom House | 0.9 | 58% | −3 | 76–73 |
| Radford | ||||
| Mathieu Grujicic | 0.8 | 64% | +3 | 77–73 |
| Ja'Corey Robinson | 0.7 | 64% | +3 | 76–73 |
| Zion Walker | 0.6 | 63% | +2 | 76–73 |
Change is in Furman's win chance, in points. Scores read Furman, then Radford. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Furman 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 80-67at Holy CrossCovered −12.5 · Under 151.5
- Nov 7W 98-83vs Northern IowaCovered −4.5 · Over 149.5
- Nov 4W 121-52vs Bob Jones
- Nov 2W 79-70vs Bethune
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 94.5 and allowing 68.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Radford 0-3LLL
- Nov 9L 47-70at TennesseeCovered +29.5 · Under 153.5
- Nov 4L 70-84at California
- Nov 2L 62-76at San Francisco
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 59.7 and allowing 76.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Furman | Radford | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 107.1 122nd | 99.8 278th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.5 139th | 107.0 148th |
| Possessions a game | 70.6 209th | 72.0 63rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.8% 93rd | 49.1% 281st |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.1% 72nd | 50.9% 210th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.3% 97th | 19.6% 324th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.2% 217th | 30.8% 242nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.32 11th | 0.24 288th |
The widest gap: Furman's defense (139th) against Radford's offense (278th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Furman 36, Radford 34
- First-half margin
- Furman by 1.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.0
- Projected second half
- Furman 40, Radford 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Furman, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 46.2 scored, 28.2 allowed
- Radford, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 30.3 scored, 38.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Furman
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom HouseG | 28 | 16.1 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Charles JohnstonF | 27 | 11.7 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 9+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 46% | |||||
| Luka ToewsG | 27 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 4+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Abijah FranklinG | 25 | 11.4 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Marcus KellF | 24 | 11.3 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 40% | |||||
| Cameron ElwerG | 18 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Jordan ButlerF | 14 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Collin O'NealG | 13 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
Radford
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Corey RobinsonG | 28 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Tristan GrossG | 28 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| Frederik ErichsenF | 24 | 9.4 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Mathieu GrujicicG | 22 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Warren Keel Jr.G | 20 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Gabriel FerreiraC | 18 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 56% | |||||
| Zion WalkerG | 15 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Cameron JacksonF | 15 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 4+ reb 44% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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