Radford at Chattanooga
Saturday, November 21, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at McKenzie Arena. Radford our rank 219 · 0-3; Chattanooga our rank 182 · 1-2.
Who will win Radford vs Chattanooga?
The model gives Chattanooga a 65% chance to beat Radford, with a projected score of Chattanooga 79, Radford 75.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga | |||||
| McDowell-WhiteG · 29 min | 15.7 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 15+ 53% | |
| AnigbataG · 25 min | 11.6 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 10+ 59% | |
| HamptonG · 25 min | 11.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 10+ 59% | |
| BleshoyG · 26 min | 9.9 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 10+ 47% | |
| Radford | |||||
| ErichsenF · 24 min | 9.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 10+ 45% | |
| RobinsonG · 28 min | 8.6 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 10+ 38% | |
| GrossG · 28 min | 7.8 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 10+ 32% | |
| GrujicicG · 22 min | 6.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 5+ 56% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kobe McDowell-White: Radford 38%Chattanooga 62%
The white mark is the call with him: Chattanooga 65%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Chattanooga without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga | ||||
| Kobe McDowell-White | 0.6 | 62% | −3 | 76–79 |
| Zach Bleshoy | 0.6 | 63% | −2 | 75–79 |
| Lenny Anigbata | 0.5 | 63% | −2 | 75–79 |
| Radford | ||||
| Mathieu Grujicic | 0.8 | 67% | +2 | 75–80 |
| Ja'Corey Robinson | 0.7 | 67% | +2 | 75–80 |
| Zion Walker | 0.6 | 66% | +1 | 75–80 |
Change is in Chattanooga's win chance, in points. Scores read Radford, then Chattanooga. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Radford 0-3LLL
- Nov 9L 47-70at TennesseeCovered +29.5 · Under 153.5
- Nov 4L 70-84at California
- Nov 2L 62-76at San Francisco
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 59.7 and allowing 76.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
Chattanooga 1-2LLW
- Nov 9W 97-67vs Covenant
- Nov 5L 93-97at Penn StateCovered +12.5 · Over 159.5
- Nov 2L 70-84at Louisville
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 86.7 and allowing 82.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Radford | Chattanooga | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.8 278th | 107.3 120th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 107.0 148th | 112.6 300th |
| Possessions a game | 72.0 63rd | 71.1 143rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.1% 281st | 54.1% 16th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.9% 210th | 49.2% 88th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.6% 324th | 18.5% 240th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.8% 242nd | 33.5% 85th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 288th | 0.25 225th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Radford 35, Chattanooga 37
- First-half margin
- Chattanooga by 2.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.6
- Projected second half
- Radford 40, Chattanooga 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 82.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Radford, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 30.3 scored, 38.3 allowed
- Chattanooga, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 39.3 scored, 44.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Radford
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Corey RobinsonG | 28 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Tristan GrossG | 28 | 7.8 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Frederik ErichsenF | 24 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 34% | |||||
| Mathieu GrujicicG | 22 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 34% | |||||
| Warren Keel Jr.G | 20 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Gabriel FerreiraC | 18 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 58% | |||||
| Zion WalkerG | 15 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Cameron JacksonF | 15 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 4+ reb 45% | |||||
Chattanooga
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe McDowell-WhiteG | 29 | 15.7 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 53% · 5+ ast 52% | |||||
| Zach BleshoyG | 26 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Matt HamptonG | 25 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Lenny AnigbataG | 25 | 11.6 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Yonatan LevyF | 22 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Christian MatosG | 20 | 8.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Sean CusanoG | 12 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 26% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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