Who will win Fordham vs Portland?
The model gives Fordham a 66% chance to beat Portland, with a projected score of Fordham 78, Portland 73.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fordham | |||||
| Patrick Jr.G · 27 min | 16.0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 15+ 55% | |
| LindseyG · 31 min | 14.4 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 15+ 45% | |
| JacobsF · 27 min | 10.5 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 10+ 52% | |
| SchulteF · 27 min | 8.9 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 10+ 40% | |
 Portland | |||||
| O'DonnellF · 30 min | 17.5 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 15+ 63% | |
| OlveraG · 26 min | 11.7 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 10+ 60% | |
| GeorgeF · 21 min | 11.4 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 10+ 58% | |
| ParkerG · 25 min | 10.7 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 10+ 53% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Rikus Schulte: Fordham 60%Portland 40%
The white mark is the call with him: Fordham 66%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Fordham without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham | ||||
| Rikus Schulte | 1.6 | 60% | −6 | 77–74 |
| Lateef Patrick Jr. | 1.4 | 61% | −5 | 77–74 |
| Kelvin Odih | 1.1 | 62% | −4 | 77–74 |
| Abass Bodija | 0.8 | 63% | −3 | 78–74 |
| Portland | ||||
| Timo George | 1.0 | 69% | +3 | 79–73 |
| Hunter Adam | 0.8 | 68% | +2 | 78–73 |
| James O'Donnell | 0.8 | 68% | +2 | 78–73 |
Change is in Fordham's win chance, in points. Scores read Fordham, then Portland. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Fordham 2-1LWW
- Nov 10W 78-72vs IonaDidn't cover −11.5 · Over 141.5
- Nov 5W 83-63vs StonehillDidn't cover −20.5 · Over 141.5
- Nov 2L 65-95at Kansas
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 75.3 and allowing 76.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
Portland 3-1WLWW
- Nov 9W 73-66at Hawai'iCovered +8.5 · Under 156.5
- Nov 8W 130-56vs Bethesda
- Nov 6L 85-89vs UT ArlingtonDidn't cover −2.5 · Over 150.5
- Nov 2W 133-89vs Willamette
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 105.2 and allowing 75.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Fordham | Portland | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.2 160th | 103.6 190th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.1 132nd | 110.5 241st |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 72.0 63rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.5% 106th | 54.1% 15th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.0% 286th | 50.3% 165th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.6% 326th | 19.5% 319th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.5% 196th | 29.1% 322nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 220th | 0.30 38th |
The widest gap: Fordham's offense (160th) against Portland's defense (241st), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Fordham 37, Portland 34
- First-half margin
- Fordham by 2.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.1
- Projected second half
- Fordham 41, Portland 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Fordham, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 34.7 scored, 36.7 allowed
- Portland, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 53.8 scored, 35.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Fordham
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir LindseyG | 31 | 14.4 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Akira JacobsF | 27 | 10.5 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Lateef Patrick Jr.G | 27 | 16.0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 55% · 3+ threes 47% | |||||
| Rikus SchulteF | 27 | 8.9 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 8+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Abass BodijaF | 20 | 8.2 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Hassan KoureissiG | 18 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Kelvin OdihG | 17 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Roor AkhuarF | 17 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
Portland
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James O'DonnellF | 30 | 17.5 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 63% · 9+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Hunter AdamG | 30 | 10.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 58% | |||||
| Jaxon OlveraG | 26 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Riley ParkerG | 25 | 10.7 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Timo GeorgeF | 21 | 11.4 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Dante Censori-HerculesG | 20 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| RJ Nance Jr.G | 18 | 8.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 2+ ast 41% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Kaia IsaacG | 17 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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