East Texas A&M at Portland
Friday, November 13, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Chiles Center. East Texas A&M our rank 242 · 2-1; Portland our rank 210 · 3-1.
Who will win East Texas A&M vs Portland?
The model gives Portland a 66% chance to beat East Texas A&M, with a projected score of Portland 78, East Texas A&M 73.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | |||||
| O'DonnellF · 30 min | 18.3 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 20+ 40% | |
| OlveraG · 26 min | 12.3 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 10+ 64% | |
| GeorgeF · 21 min | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 10+ 61% | |
| ParkerG · 25 min | 11.2 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 10+ 57% | |
| East Texas A&M | |||||
| DoddG · 31 min | 17.1 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 15+ 61% | |
| DiakiteF · 32 min | 15.1 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 15+ 50% | |
| AldridgeF · 26 min | 13.1 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 15+ 37% | |
| DuchampF · 25 min | 8.4 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 10+ 37% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Timo George: East Texas A&M 37%Portland 63%
The white mark is the call with him: Portland 66%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Portland without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | ||||
| Timo George | 1.0 | 63% | −3 | 74–77 |
| Hunter Adam | 0.8 | 64% | −2 | 73–77 |
| James O'Donnell | 0.8 | 64% | −2 | 73–77 |
| East Texas A&M | ||||
| Alonzo Dodd | 1.0 | 69% | +3 | 73–78 |
Change is in Portland's win chance, in points. Scores read East Texas A&M, then Portland. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
East Texas A&M 2-1WWL
- Nov 11L 76-80vs FDUDidn't cover −11.5 · Over 138.5
- Nov 5W 72-71at RiceCovered +3.5 · Under 145.5
- Nov 2W 68-64at Oklahoma
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 72.0 and allowing 71.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Portland 3-1WLWW
- Nov 9W 73-66at Hawai'iCovered +8.5 · Under 156.5
- Nov 8W 130-56vs Bethesda
- Nov 6L 85-89vs UT ArlingtonDidn't cover −2.5 · Over 150.5
- Nov 2W 133-89vs Willamette
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 105.2 and allowing 75.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| East Texas A&M | Portland | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.0 270th | 103.6 190th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.5 209th | 110.5 241st |
| Possessions a game | 70.3 238th | 72.0 63rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.6% 247th | 54.1% 15th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.0% 35th | 50.3% 165th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.7% 327th | 19.5% 319th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 36.3% 5th | 29.1% 322nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 275th | 0.30 38th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- East Texas A&M 34, Portland 37
- First-half margin
- Portland by 2.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.8
- Projected second half
- East Texas A&M 39, Portland 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- East Texas A&M, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 29.3 allowed
- Portland, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 53.8 scored, 35.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
East Texas A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed DiakiteF | 32 | 15.1 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 2+ ast 55% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Alonzo DoddG | 31 | 17.1 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| 15+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 51% · 3+ threes 54% | |||||
| Gasper SkorjancG | 29 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ ast 52% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Bo AldridgeF | 26 | 13.1 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Thomas DuchampF | 25 | 8.4 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Maxime CarrioF | 18 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Amar HotF | 18 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
| Jaxson FordF | 17 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
Portland
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James O'DonnellF | 30 | 18.3 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 |
| 20+ pts 40% · 9+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Hunter AdamG | 30 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Jaxon OlveraG | 26 | 12.3 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 52% | |||||
| Riley ParkerG | 25 | 11.2 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 3+ ast 55% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Timo GeorgeF | 21 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Dante Censori-HerculesG | 20 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| RJ Nance Jr.G | 18 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 2+ ast 45% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Kaia IsaacG | 17 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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