East Texas A&M 68, Oklahoma 64
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Lloyd Noble Center. East Texas A&M our rank 242 · 2-1; Oklahoma our rank 68 · 2-1.
Who won East Texas A&M vs Oklahoma?
Final: East Texas A&M 68, Oklahoma 64. Before tip-off the model gave East Texas A&M a 1% chance to win — an upset, with a projected margin of 29.7 points for Oklahoma. Bo Aldridge scored 22 for East Texas A&M; Pop Isaacs had 15 for Oklahoma.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Xzayvier Brown: East Texas A&M 1%Oklahoma 99%
The white mark is the call with him: Oklahoma 99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Oklahoma without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma | ||||
| Xzayvier Brown | 2.7 | 99% | 0 | 55–82 |
| B.J. Edwards | 2.7 | 99% | 0 | 55–82 |
| Derrion Reid | 2.3 | 99% | 0 | 55–83 |
| Duke Brennan | 2.2 | 99% | 0 | 55–83 |
| East Texas A&M | ||||
| Alonzo Dodd | 1.0 | 99% | 0 | 54–84 |
Change is in Oklahoma's win chance, in points. Scores read East Texas A&M, then Oklahoma. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
East Texas A&M
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Oklahoma
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| East Texas A&M | Oklahoma | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.0 270th | 114.2 59th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.5 209th | 102.4 90th |
| Possessions a game | 70.3 238th | 70.1 261st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.6% 247th | 49.8% 231st |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.0% 35th | 51.5% 254th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.7% 327th | 18.0% 178th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 36.3% 5th | 32.7% 123rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 275th | 0.25 264th |
The widest gap: Oklahoma's defense (90th) against East Texas A&M's offense (270th), of 365 teams.
First half
East Texas A&M led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 25.3 points and the total by 5.6.
- At halftime
- East Texas A&M 34, Oklahoma 25
- Projected halftime score
- East Texas A&M 24, Oklahoma 40
- First-half margin
- Oklahoma by 16.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
East Texas A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed DiakiteF | 33 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Thomas DuchampF | 27 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Bo AldridgeF | 25 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Alonzo DoddG | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| Gasper SkorjancG | 24 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Amar HotF | 22 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Maxime CarrioF | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaxson FordF | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Kollin TolbertG | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Oklahoma
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrion ReidF | 33 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| Khani RoothsF | 29 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Pop IsaacsG | 29 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| B.J. EdwardsG | 29 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Dayton ForsytheG | 26 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Tyler HendricksG | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Duke BrennanF | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Kai RogersF | 14 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Gage MayfieldF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |