Who will win FDU vs Oklahoma?
The model gives Oklahoma a 99% chance to beat Fairleigh Dickinson, with a projected score of Oklahoma 87, FDU 63. The spread is Oklahoma −32.5, with an over/under of 147.5. The model makes it Oklahoma by 24.2, 8.3 points toward FDU, and projects 150 total points.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oklahoma | |||||
| BrownG · 29 min | 13.1 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 15+ 37% | |
| ReidF · 30 min | 13.0 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 15+ 36% | |
| EdwardsG · 25 min | 11.2 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 10+ 57% | |
| IsaacsG · 26 min | 11.1 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 10+ 56% | |
 FDU | |||||
| JevticG · 28 min | 12.0 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 10+ 62% | |
| JacobsG · 26 min | 8.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 10+ 35% | |
| AguF · 20 min | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 5+ 67% | |
| JohnsonG · 24 min | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5+ 58% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Xzayvier Brown: FDU 3%Oklahoma 97%
The white mark is the call with him: Oklahoma 99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Oklahoma without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma | ||||
| Xzayvier Brown | 2.7 | 97% | −2 | 64–86 |
| B.J. Edwards | 2.7 | 97% | −2 | 64–86 |
| Derrion Reid | 2.3 | 98% | −1 | 64–86 |
| Duke Brennan | 2.2 | 98% | −1 | 64–86 |
Change is in Oklahoma's win chance, in points. Scores read FDU, then Oklahoma. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
| Spread | Over/under | |
|---|---|---|
| Line | Oklahoma −32.5 | 147.5 |
| Model | Oklahoma −24.2 | 150.4 |
| Gap | 8.3 toward FDU | 2.9 higher |
A gap is a difference of opinion, not a tip. When the model and the line have been 4 or more points apart, the model's side has covered 48.4% of 702 games. This season the model's side has covered 163 of 337 spreads (48%); over 11,507 games in the last two seasons it covered 50.6%. It takes about 52.4% to break even at standard odds. Scorecard
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
FDU 2-2LLWW
- Nov 11W 80-76at East Texas A&MCovered +11.5 · Over 138.5
- Nov 7W 93-56vs City College NY
- Nov 4L 65-99at Butler
- Nov 2L 45-120at Illinois
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Oklahoma 2-1LWW
- Nov 9W 81-72vs North AlabamaDidn't cover −28.5 · Over 147.5
- Nov 6W 84-57vs Miss Valley StDidn't cover −40.5 · Under 152.5
- Nov 2L 64-68vs East Texas A&M
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 76.3 and allowing 65.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| FDU | Oklahoma | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.4 260th | 114.2 59th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.0 348th | 102.4 90th |
| Possessions a game | 69.0 333rd | 70.1 261st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.4% 257th | 49.8% 231st |
| Opponents' shooting | 53.2% 336th | 51.5% 254th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.8% 48th | 18.0% 178th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.6% 300th | 32.7% 123rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 197th | 0.25 264th |
The widest gap: Oklahoma's offense (59th) against FDU's defense (348th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- FDU 29, Oklahoma 42
- First-half margin
- Oklahoma by 13.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.6
- Projected second half
- FDU 34, Oklahoma 45
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- FDU, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 31.0 scored, 48.5 allowed
- Oklahoma, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 33.3 scored, 30.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
FDU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis TorainF | 29 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 34% | |||||
| David JevticG | 28 | 12.0 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| JR JacobsG | 26 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Raysean JohnsonG | 24 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Bol AguF | 20 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Pavle StosicF | 20 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Ras Elijah GodboltG | 18 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 16% · 2+ reb 29% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Vophcy PropheteG | 15 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
Oklahoma
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrion ReidF | 30 | 13.0 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Xzayvier BrownG | 29 | 13.1 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 57% · 4+ ast 53% | |||||
| Pop IsaacsG | 26 | 11.1 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 53% · 4+ ast 49% | |||||
| B.J. EdwardsG | 25 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Khani RoothsF | 24 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Duke BrennanF | 21 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Dayton ForsytheG | 19 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 39% · 3+ ast 39% | |||||
| Kai RogersF | 11 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 16% · 3+ reb 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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