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NJIT at FDU

Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Bogota Savings Bank Center. NJIT our rank 361 · 1-4; FDU our rank 318 · 2-2.

Who will win NJIT vs FDU?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Fairleigh Dickinson a 79% chance to beat NJIT, with a projected score of FDU 77, NJIT 68.

To winFDU 79%NJIT 21%
Projected score68–77NJIT, then FDU
Margin9.1FDU · no line posted
Total144.4no line posted
First half31–36FDU ahead 68%
NJIT by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30FDU by 40Model: FDU by 9.1NJIT by 20Evenby 20FDU by 40Model: FDU by 9.1

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
FDU
JevticG · 29 min14.95.81.815+ 48%
JacobsG · 28 min10.13.33.710+ 49%
AguF · 20 min8.73.60.810+ 39%
TorainF · 31 min7.66.31.05+ 69%
NJIT
BoldenG · 30 min11.12.83.510+ 56%
VanderstraetenF · 27 min9.65.90.810+ 45%
CoffiF · 26 min7.25.31.45+ 66%
Stores Jr.G · 22 min6.02.61.15+ 56%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    NJIT 1-4LLWLL

    1. Nov 11L 49-87at VCUDidn't cover +33.5 · Under 149.5
    2. Nov 10L 64-101at RutgersDidn't cover +25.5 · Over 143.5
    3. Nov 8W 54-52vs Saint Peter'sCovered +1.5 · Under 132.5
    4. Nov 5L 49-72at IonaDidn't cover +9.5 · Under 146.5
    5. Nov 2L 58-89at Dayton
    Last five
    1–4, scoring 54.8 and allowing 80.2
    Against the spread, this season
    1–3
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 3 under

    FDU 2-2LLWW

    1. Nov 11W 80-76at East Texas A&MCovered +11.5 · Over 138.5
    2. Nov 7W 93-56vs City College NY
    3. Nov 4L 65-99at Butler
    4. Nov 2L 45-120at Illinois
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.8
    Against the spread, this season
    1–0
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 0 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    NJITFDU
    Points scored per 100 possessions91.5 361st100.4 260th
    Points allowed per 100116.4 350th116.0 348th
    Possessions a game70.1 261st69.0 333rd
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)44.2% 365th49.4% 257th
    Opponents' shooting51.6% 264th53.2% 336th
    Turnovers, share of possessions17.4% 110th16.8% 48th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses29.7% 293rd29.6% 300th
    Free throws per shot0.26 192nd0.26 197th

    The widest gap: FDU's offense (260th) against NJIT's defense (350th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    NJIT 31, FDU 36
    First-half margin
    FDU by 5.0
    First-half points, both teams
    67.8
    Projected second half
    NJIT 36, FDU 40
    Second-half points, both teams
    76.7
    Tied at the half
    4%
    NJIT, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 5 · 24.2 scored, 38.6 allowed
    FDU, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 4 · 31.0 scored, 48.5 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    NJIT

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    David BoldenG3011.12.83.52.0
    10+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 54%
    Victor VanderstraetenF279.65.90.80.5
    10+ pts 45% · 6+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 38%
    Matheo CoffiF267.25.31.40.9
    5+ pts 66% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 57%
    Mario Tatum Jr.G225.91.60.80.9
    5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 54%
    Brandon Stores Jr.G226.02.61.11.1
    5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 60%
    John KellyF184.72.70.40.4
    5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 35%
    Rocco AwadG173.51.50.50.9
    5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 56%
    Quentin DuncanG124.11.60.50.9
    5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 57%

    FDU

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Travis TorainF317.66.31.01.5
    5+ pts 69% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 41%
    David JevticG2914.95.81.81.7
    15+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 51%
    JR JacobsG2810.13.33.71.2
    10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 58% · 4+ ast 49%
    Raysean JohnsonG257.62.81.50.7
    10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 46%
    Bol AguF208.73.60.80.5
    10+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 37%
    Pavle StosicF207.55.02.40.5
    5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 42%
    Ras Elijah GodboltG182.51.32.40.3
    5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 35% · 3+ ast 43%
    Vophcy PropheteG155.51.90.81.3
    5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 34%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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