Wichita St at Loyola Chicago
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Gentile Arena. Wichita St our rank 91 · 2-1; Loyola Chicago our rank 132 · 2-1.
Who will win Wichita St vs Loyola Chicago?
The model gives Wichita State a 57% chance to beat Loyola Chicago, with a projected score of Wichita St 77, Loyola Chicago 74.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wichita St | |||||
| GilesG · 27 min | 14.3 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 15+ 44% | |
| BergC · 20 min | 12.2 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 10+ 63% | |
| BattieF · 24 min | 10.2 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 10+ 50% | |
| FrisonG · 21 min | 9.2 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 10+ 42% | |
| Loyola Chicago | |||||
| NessahG · 25 min | 13.8 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 15+ 41% | |
| SchofieldC · 24 min | 11.0 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 10+ 55% | |
| GrotzingerG · 25 min | 10.0 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 10+ 48% | |
| JeffreyG · 20 min | 7.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 5+ 66% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Dillon Battie: Wichita St 49%Loyola Chicago 51%
The white mark is the call with him: Wichita St 57%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Wichita St without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wichita St | ||||
| Dillon Battie | 2.5 | 49% | −8 | 75–76 |
| Kenyon Giles | 2.1 | 50% | −7 | 75–76 |
| Jahari Long | 1.4 | 53% | −4 | 76–75 |
| Emmanuel Okorafor | 1.3 | 53% | −4 | 76–75 |
| Loyola Chicago | ||||
| Chris Jeffrey | 1.4 | 62% | +5 | 77–74 |
| Jason Schofield | 1.2 | 61% | +4 | 77–74 |
| Jayden Dawson | 1.0 | 61% | +4 | 77–74 |
| Elias Rapieque | 0.8 | 60% | +3 | 77–74 |
Change is in Wichita St's win chance, in points. Scores read Wichita St, then Loyola Chicago. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Wichita St 2-1WLW
- Nov 11W 113-60vs Friends
- Nov 8L 86-93vs USCDidn't cover +6.5 · Over 155.5
- Nov 4W 79-67vs CSU Northridge
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 92.7 and allowing 73.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Loyola Chicago 2-1WWL
- Nov 11L 93-107at Air ForceDidn't cover −10.5 · Over 159.5
- Nov 5W 76-53vs West GeorgiaCovered −17.5 · Under 145.5
- Nov 2W 77-52vs The Citadel
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 82.0 and allowing 70.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Wichita St | Loyola Chicago | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.9 85th | 105.6 149th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.2 98th | 106.3 134th |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 121st | 70.3 238th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.7% 242nd | 51.3% 127th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.7% 50th | 50.0% 148th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.3% 97th | 17.4% 106th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.0% 230th | 34.5% 34th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 96th | 0.21 353rd |
The widest gap: Wichita St's defense (98th) against Loyola Chicago's offense (149th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Wichita St 36, Loyola Chicago 35
- First-half margin
- Wichita St by 1.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.8
- Projected second half
- Wichita St 41, Loyola Chicago 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Wichita St, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 51.0 scored, 37.0 allowed
- Loyola Chicago, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 37.7 scored, 35.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Wichita St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon GilesG | 27 | 14.3 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
| Jahari LongG | 26 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Dillon BattieF | 24 | 10.2 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Bryce HeardG | 22 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Jordan FrisonG | 21 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 54% · 4+ ast 47% | |||||
| William BergC | 20 | 12.2 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 48% to play · 10+ pts 63% · 9+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Desmeon JonesG | 16 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| TJ WilliamsG | 13 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 78% to play · 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
Missed the last game: William Berg (24 min a game).
Loyola Chicago
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayan NessahG | 25 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 6+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Guillaume GrotzingerG | 25 | 10.0 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 55% · 5+ ast 42% | |||||
| Jason SchofieldC | 24 | 11.0 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 7+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Chris JeffreyG | 20 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Ryan AgarwalG | 19 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Jayden DawsonG | 19 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 29% · 2+ threes 36% | |||||
| Elias RapiequeF | 18 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Xavier AmosF | 17 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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