Mercer at Presbyterian
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Templeton Center. Mercer our rank 163 · 2-3; Presbyterian our rank 229 · 0-3.
Who will win Mercer vs Presbyterian?
The model gives Presbyterian a 51% chance to beat Mercer, with a projected score of Presbyterian 79, Mercer 79.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Presbyterian | |||||
| WilsonG · 33 min | 16.9 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 15+ 60% | |
| PetersonF · 34 min | 14.5 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 15+ 46% | |
| ParrishG · 30 min | 11.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 10+ 60% | |
| SmithG · 17 min | 7.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5+ 67% | |
| Mercer | |||||
| Perkins IIG · 31 min | 15.3 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 15+ 51% | |
| BoydF · 30 min | 12.2 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 10+ 63% | |
| GoodmanG · 27 min | 11.7 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 10+ 60% | |
| CherryG · 18 min | 10.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 10+ 54% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jaylen Peterson: Mercer 53%Presbyterian 47%
The white mark is the call with him: Presbyterian 51%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Presbyterian without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Presbyterian | ||||
| Jaylen Peterson | 0.9 | 47% | −4 | 79–79 |
| Mercer | ||||
| Karon Boyd | 1.4 | 56% | +5 | 78–80 |
| Brady Shoulders | 0.8 | 54% | +3 | 79–80 |
Change is in Presbyterian's win chance, in points. Scores read Mercer, then Presbyterian. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Mercer 2-3WLLWL
- Nov 12L 61-75at West VirginiaCovered +24.5 · Under 151.5
- Nov 10W 97-91at GA SouthernCovered +1.5 · Over 165.5
- Nov 7L 76-88at DavidsonDidn't cover +11.5 · Over 148.5
- Nov 5L 67-96at Virginia TechDidn't cover +20.5 · Over 154.5
- Nov 2W 90-53vs Reinhardt
- Last five
- 2–3, scoring 78.2 and allowing 80.6
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–2
- Totals, this season
- 3 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Mercer | Presbyterian | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 107.1 121st | 105.9 144th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.9 259th | 114.0 323rd |
| Possessions a game | 71.5 103rd | 69.5 307th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.9% 150th | 50.3% 204th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.0% 67th | 53.3% 338th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.9% 53rd | 17.8% 144th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.0% 22nd | 31.6% 190th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 206th | 0.30 36th |
The widest gap: Mercer's offense (121st) against Presbyterian's defense (323rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Mercer 37, Presbyterian 37
- First-half margin
- Presbyterian by 0.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 74.2
- Projected second half
- Mercer 42, Presbyterian 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 83.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Mercer, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 5 · 32.6 scored, 35.8 allowed
- Presbyterian, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 30.3 scored, 43.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Mercer
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady ShouldersG | 33 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 7+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Quinton Perkins IIG | 31 | 15.3 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 54% · 3+ threes 43% | |||||
| Karon BoydF | 30 | 12.2 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 7+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Derek GoodmanG | 27 | 11.7 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 2+ ast 54% · 2+ threes 57% | |||||
| Makoi Mabor MakoiF | 27 | 7.1 | 7.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 7+ reb 53% | |||||
| KJ LamonteG | 19 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 53% to play · 10+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Shane CherryG | 18 | 10.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Sawyer MayhughF | 18 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 78% to play · 5+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
Missed the last game: KJ Lamonte (23 min a game).
Presbyterian
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen PetersonF | 34 | 14.5 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 8+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Triston WilsonG | 33 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 51% · 5+ ast 53% | |||||
| Carl ParrishG | 30 | 11.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 2+ ast 50% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Erik TaylorG | 21 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 45% | |||||
| Chidi ChiakweluF | 19 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 5+ reb 50% | |||||
| EJ SmithG | 17 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Iverson KingG | 15 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Langston HackworthF | 14 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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