Probable Stats
Menu

Presbyterian at Tennessee Tech

Saturday, November 21, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Hooper Eblen Center. Presbyterian our rank 229 · 0-3; Tennessee Tech our rank 244 · 2-2.

Who will win Presbyterian vs Tennessee Tech?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Tennessee Tech a 55% chance to beat Presbyterian, with a projected score of Tennessee Tech 80, Presbyterian 79.

To winTennessee Tech 55%Presbyterian 45%
Projected score79–80Presbyterian, then Tennessee Tech
Margin1.4Tennessee Tech · no line posted
Total159.5no line posted
First half37–38Tennessee Tech ahead 51%
Presbyterian by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Tennessee Tech by 30Model: Tennessee Tech by 1.4Presbyterian by 30by 10by 10Tennessee Tech by 30Model: Tennessee Tech by 1.4

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Tennessee Tech
SandersF · 28 min15.06.42.015+ 49%
NewtonG · 24 min13.03.31.715+ 37%
GreenF · 20 min10.45.80.910+ 51%
MosqueraG · 22 min10.23.71.410+ 49%
Presbyterian
WilsonG · 33 min16.84.94.915+ 59%
PetersonF · 34 min14.47.31.215+ 45%
ParrishG · 30 min11.72.31.710+ 60%
SmithG · 17 min7.31.71.15+ 67%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Caleb Sanders: Presbyterian 47%Tennessee Tech 53%

The white mark is the call with him: Tennessee Tech 55%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsTennessee Tech without himChangeProjected score
Tennessee Tech
Caleb Sanders0.653%−279–80
Presbyterian
Jaylen Peterson0.959%+479–81

Change is in Tennessee Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read Presbyterian, then Tennessee Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Presbyterian 0-3LLL

    1. Nov 10L 60-94at NC StateDidn't cover +18.5 · Over 149.5
    2. Nov 6L 77-91at GeorgiaCovered +24.5 · Over 157.5
    3. Nov 2L 78-87vs St Thomas
    Last 3
    0–3, scoring 71.7 and allowing 90.7
    Against the spread, this season
    1–1
    Totals, this season
    2 over, 0 under

    Tennessee Tech 2-2LWWL

    1. Nov 12L 66-90at IndianaCovered +25.5 · Under 167.5
    2. Nov 8W 97-94vs Western KYCovered +3.5 · Over 164.5
    3. Nov 4W 117-70vs Blue Mountain Christian
    4. Nov 2L 88-106at Mississippi St
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 92.0 and allowing 90.0
    Against the spread, this season
    2–0
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    PresbyterianTennessee Tech
    Points scored per 100 possessions105.9 144th103.8 186th
    Points allowed per 100114.0 323rd113.4 315th
    Possessions a game69.5 307th72.4 39th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)50.3% 204th51.6% 100th
    Opponents' shooting53.3% 338th53.4% 342nd
    Turnovers, share of possessions17.8% 144th17.9% 159th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.6% 190th32.5% 141st
    Free throws per shot0.30 36th0.27 126th

    The widest gap: Presbyterian's offense (144th) against Tennessee Tech's defense (315th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Presbyterian 37, Tennessee Tech 38
    First-half margin
    Tennessee Tech by 0.8
    First-half points, both teams
    74.8
    Projected second half
    Presbyterian 42, Tennessee Tech 43
    Second-half points, both teams
    84.6
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Presbyterian, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 3 · 30.3 scored, 43.3 allowed
    Tennessee Tech, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 47.8 scored, 41.5 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Presbyterian

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Jaylen PetersonF3414.47.31.20.1
    15+ pts 45% · 8+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 32%
    Triston WilsonG3316.84.94.91.1
    15+ pts 59% · 5+ reb 51% · 5+ ast 52%
    Carl ParrishG3011.72.31.72.0
    10+ pts 60% · 2+ ast 49% · 2+ threes 54%
    Erik TaylorG216.41.82.51.4
    5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 44%
    Chidi ChiakweluF196.44.80.20.0
    5+ pts 59% · 5+ reb 50%
    EJ SmithG177.31.71.10.7
    5+ pts 67% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 48%
    Iverson KingG153.82.10.70.6
    5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 44%
    Langston HackworthF145.83.40.50.5
    5+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 40%

    Tennessee Tech

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Caleb SandersF2815.06.42.01.0
    15+ pts 49% · 7+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 56%
    Cbo NewtonG2413.03.31.72.1
    15+ pts 37% · 2+ ast 49% · 2+ threes 56%
    Ty OwensG225.62.04.30.5
    5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 54% · 5+ ast 42%
    Trent MosqueraG2210.23.71.42.6
    10+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 47% · 3+ threes 44%
    Caleb HollenbeckG219.32.21.02.4
    10+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 58% · 3+ threes 41%
    De'Ante GreenF2010.45.80.90.8
    10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 51%
    Kamai SamuelsG198.62.52.01.1
    10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 57%
    Davante HackettG167.82.61.11.2
    10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 64%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Sat, Nov 21

    All games
    1. 2 PMprojected 81-77New Mexico at Wichita St, men's: game page
    2. 3 PMprojected 76-78St Thomas at Milwaukee, men's: game page
    3. 4 PMprojected 73-74C Arkansas at Jacksonville, men's: game page
    4. 4 PMprojected 73-76South Florida at George Mason, men's: game page
    5. 4 PMprojected 75-75Penn at La Salle, men's: game page
    6. 7 PMprojected 79-74Michigan at Villanova, men's: game page