Tennessee Tech at UNC Asheville
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Kimmel Arena. Tennessee Tech our rank 244 · 2-2; UNC Asheville our rank 294 · 2-2.
Who will win Tennessee Tech vs UNC Asheville?
The model gives UNC Asheville a 51% chance to beat Tennessee Tech, with a projected score of UNC Asheville 79, Tennessee Tech 79.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Asheville | |||||
| LipkinsG · 27 min | 12.0 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 10+ 62% | |
| MayfieldF · 28 min | 10.1 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 10+ 49% | |
| DubskyG · 20 min | 9.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 10+ 45% | |
| ThomasF · 26 min | 8.3 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 10+ 36% | |
| Tennessee Tech | |||||
| SandersF · 28 min | 14.8 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 15+ 48% | |
| NewtonG · 24 min | 12.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 15+ 36% | |
| GreenF · 20 min | 10.2 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 10+ 50% | |
| MosqueraG · 22 min | 10.1 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 10+ 49% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Abou Magassa: Tennessee Tech 51%UNC Asheville 49%
The white mark is the call with him: UNC Asheville 51%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | UNC Asheville without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Asheville | ||||
| Abou Magassa | 0.5 | 49% | −2 | 79–79 |
| Tennessee Tech | ||||
| Caleb Sanders | 0.6 | 53% | +2 | 79–80 |
Change is in UNC Asheville's win chance, in points. Scores read Tennessee Tech, then UNC Asheville. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Tennessee Tech 2-2LWWL
- Nov 12L 66-90at IndianaCovered +25.5 · Under 167.5
- Nov 8W 97-94vs Western KYCovered +3.5 · Over 164.5
- Nov 4W 117-70vs Blue Mountain Christian
- Nov 2L 88-106at Mississippi St
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 92.0 and allowing 90.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
UNC Asheville 2-2LWLW
- Nov 11W 73-70at West GeorgiaCovered +1.5 · Under 149.5
- Nov 7L 75-83vs W CarolinaDidn't cover +3.5 · Over 152.5
- Nov 4W 101-74vs Erskine
- Nov 2L 77-100at Richmond
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 81.5 and allowing 81.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Tennessee Tech | UNC Asheville | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.8 186th | 101.2 243rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 113.4 315th | 114.2 326th |
| Possessions a game | 72.4 39th | 70.4 222nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.6% 100th | 52.5% 60th |
| Opponents' shooting | 53.4% 342nd | 51.4% 250th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.9% 159th | 18.2% 197th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.5% 141st | 30.9% 238th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 126th | 0.24 271st |
The widest gap: Tennessee Tech's offense (186th) against UNC Asheville's defense (326th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Tennessee Tech 37, UNC Asheville 37
- First-half margin
- UNC Asheville by 0.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 74.3
- Projected second half
- Tennessee Tech 42, UNC Asheville 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 84.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Tennessee Tech, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 47.8 scored, 41.5 allowed
- UNC Asheville, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 38.8 scored, 41.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Tennessee Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb SandersF | 28 | 14.8 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Cbo NewtonG | 24 | 12.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 2+ ast 48% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Ty OwensG | 22 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 54% · 4+ ast 58% | |||||
| Trent MosqueraG | 22 | 10.1 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 47% · 3+ threes 43% | |||||
| Caleb HollenbeckG | 22 | 9.1 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 58% · 3+ threes 40% | |||||
| De'Ante GreenF | 20 | 10.2 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Kamai SamuelsG | 19 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Davante HackettG | 16 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
UNC Asheville
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles MayfieldF | 28 | 10.1 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Ja'Corey LipkinsG | 27 | 12.0 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 2+ ast 54% · 3+ threes 50% | |||||
| Daniel ThomasF | 26 | 8.3 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 7+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Tylon ChatmanG | 26 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 4+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Kelcy PhippsG | 22 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Jermaurhiyun AndersonG | 21 | 7.6 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Connor DubskyG | 20 | 9.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Khayri DunnG | 16 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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