UNC Asheville at Georgia Tech
Saturday, November 14, 2026, 4:00 PM ET at McCamish Pavilion. UNC Asheville our rank 294 · 2-2; Georgia Tech our rank 108 · 3-0.
Who will win UNC Asheville vs Georgia Tech?
The model gives Georgia Tech a 94% chance to beat UNC Asheville, with a projected score of Georgia Tech 86, UNC Asheville 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | |||||
| GarlandG · 28 min | 16.0 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 15+ 55% | |
| WhitlockG · 26 min | 14.8 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 15+ 48% | |
| JordanF · 28 min | 14.1 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 15+ 43% | |
| CraftG · 25 min | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 10+ 49% | |
| UNC Asheville | |||||
| LipkinsG · 26 min | 10.3 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 10+ 50% | |
| MayfieldF · 26 min | 8.6 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 10+ 38% | |
| DubskyG · 19 min | 8.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 10+ 36% | |
| DunnG · 16 min | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5+ 67% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Colby Garland: UNC Asheville 9%Georgia Tech 91%
The white mark is the call with him: Georgia Tech 94%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Georgia Tech without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | ||||
| Colby Garland | 2.3 | 91% | −3 | 70–85 |
| Jackson Fields | 1.7 | 92% | −2 | 70–85 |
| Nasir Whitlock | 1.3 | 92% | −2 | 69–85 |
| Victor Valdes | 1.2 | 92% | −2 | 69–85 |
| UNC Asheville | ||||
| Abou Magassa | 0.5 | 94% | 0 | 68–86 |
Change is in Georgia Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read UNC Asheville, then Georgia Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
UNC Asheville 2-2LWLW
- Nov 11W 73-70at West GeorgiaCovered +1.5 · Under 149.5
- Nov 7L 75-83vs W CarolinaDidn't cover +3.5 · Over 152.5
- Nov 4W 101-74vs Erskine
- Nov 2L 77-100at Richmond
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 81.5 and allowing 81.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Georgia Tech 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 85-71vs E KentuckyDidn't cover −15.5 · Under 165.5
- Nov 6W 95-83vs GA SouthernDidn't cover −17.5 · Over 159.5
- Nov 3W 75-55vs Hampton
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 85.0 and allowing 69.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| UNC Asheville | Georgia Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.2 243rd | 107.0 125th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 114.2 326th | 102.7 93rd |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 222nd | 73.1 18th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.5% 60th | 49.4% 255th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.4% 250th | 48.8% 61st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.2% 197th | 19.2% 300th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.9% 238th | 32.9% 112th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 271st | 0.31 24th |
The widest gap: Georgia Tech's offense (125th) against UNC Asheville's defense (326th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- UNC Asheville 32, Georgia Tech 41
- First-half margin
- Georgia Tech by 9.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.5
- Projected second half
- UNC Asheville 37, Georgia Tech 45
- Second-half points, both teams
- 82.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- UNC Asheville, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 38.8 scored, 41.8 allowed
- Georgia Tech, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 44.7 scored, 34.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
UNC Asheville
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles MayfieldF | 26 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
| Ja'Corey LipkinsG | 26 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Daniel ThomasF | 25 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Tylon ChatmanG | 25 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 3+ ast 49% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Kelcy PhippsG | 22 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 33% | |||||
| Jermaurhiyun AndersonG | 20 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Connor DubskyG | 19 | 8.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Khayri DunnG | 16 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
Georgia Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby GarlandG | 28 | 16.0 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 43% · 4+ ast 57% | |||||
| Tylis JordanF | 28 | 14.1 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Nasir WhitlockG | 26 | 14.8 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 3+ ast 51% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Kam CraftG | 25 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 58% | |||||
| Jackson FieldsF | 23 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 33% | |||||
| Victor ValdesF | 17 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Cole KirouacC | 15 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Kaiden BaileyG | 11 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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