UNC Asheville 77, Richmond 100
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Robins Center. UNC Asheville our rank 294 · 2-2; Richmond our rank 121 · 3-1.
Who won UNC Asheville vs Richmond?
Final: Richmond 100, UNC Asheville 77. Before tip-off the model gave Richmond a 77% chance to win, with a projected margin of 9.1 points for Richmond. Dominick Stewart scored 29 for Richmond; Myles Mayfield had 14 for UNC Asheville.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Jamie Kaiser Jr.: UNC Asheville 27%Richmond 73%
The white mark is the call with him: Richmond 77%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Richmond without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | ||||
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. | 1.5 | 73% | −4 | 63–71 |
| Aiden Argabright | 1.4 | 74% | −3 | 63–71 |
| Derin Saran | 1.4 | 74% | −3 | 63–71 |
| Andrew Ball | 1.0 | 75% | −2 | 63–71 |
| UNC Asheville | ||||
| Abou Magassa | 0.5 | 78% | +1 | 62–72 |
Change is in Richmond's win chance, in points. Scores read UNC Asheville, then Richmond. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
UNC Asheville
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Richmond
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| UNC Asheville | Richmond | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.2 243rd | 105.2 158th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 114.2 326th | 104.3 105th |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 222nd | 71.3 121st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.5% 60th | 53.3% 28th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.4% 250th | 49.3% 94th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.2% 197th | 18.8% 267th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.9% 238th | 31.8% 181st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 271st | 0.23 336th |
The widest gap: Richmond's offense (158th) against UNC Asheville's defense (326th), of 365 teams.
First half
Richmond led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 24.0 points and the total by 20.0.
- At halftime
- UNC Asheville 27, Richmond 56
- Projected halftime score
- UNC Asheville 29, Richmond 34
- First-half margin
- Richmond by 5.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
UNC Asheville
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelcy PhippsG | 33 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Daniel ThomasF | 27 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| Khayri DunnG | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Connor DubskyG | 23 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ja'Corey LipkinsG | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Myles MayfieldF | 20 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Tylon ChatmanG | 20 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jermaurhiyun AndersonG | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Abou MagassaF | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Richmond
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derin SaranG | 32 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| Aiden ArgabrightG | 31 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr.F | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Dominick StewartG | 28 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Amon DorriesC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| Andrew BallF | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Collin TannerG | 14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Chad CookF | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Will Harper IIIG | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |